08.04.2026
Reading time: 3 min

VfB Stuttgart vs Hamburger SV – Free Prediction (12.04.2026)

VfB Stuttgart
LWLWL

12 April 2026
15:30
Bundesliga

VS

Hamburger SV
DLDWL

Player Ratings & Team Rating

VfB Stuttgart

Average rating
6.87

Top players:

  • C. Führich — 8.30 (6 g)
  • L. Jaquez — 8.30 (1 g)
  • N. Woltemade — 8.20 (1 g)
  • J. Leweling — 7.90 (11 g)
  • J. Chabot — 7.73 (0 g)

Hamburger SV

Average rating
6.79

Top players:

  • Fábio Vieira — 7.95 (5 g)
  • L. Vušković — 7.95 (5 g)
  • Daniel Elfadli — 7.20 (0 g)
  • M. Muheim — 7.00 (0 g)
  • N. Remberg — 6.96 (0 g)

Clean Sheets / Both Teams To Score

VfB Stuttgart
Hamburger SV


Strength


67% / 33%

Attacking Potential


67% / 33%

Defensive Potential


54% / 46%

Poisson Distribution


73% / 27%

Strength H2H


80% / 20%

Goals H2H


65% / 35%

Wins The Game



45% / 45% / 10%

Introduction

In the 29th round of the Bundesliga, VfB Stuttgart will host Hamburger SV at the MHPArena. This match carries significant weight for both teams as they vie for crucial points to enhance their standings in the league.

Form Analysis

VfB Stuttgart’s recent form reflects a challenging period, with only two victories in their last ten matches, including a notable win against RB Leipzig. However, their inconsistency is evident as they have suffered three defeats, which places pressure on them to secure a positive result at home.

On the other hand, Hamburger SV has shown a slightly better performance with two wins, two draws, and only one loss in their past ten matches. Despite their mixed results, they have managed to display resilience, especially in their recent draws against FC Augsburg and 1. FC Köln, which indicates they are capable of competing effectively.

Statistical Analysis

When comparing the statistics of both teams, VfB Stuttgart has a home form of 67% in their last five matches, which suggests a strong home advantage. In contrast, Hamburger SV struggles on the road with only a 33% success rate in their recent away games, indicating a clear disparity in performance under different conditions.

The head-to-head statistics also favor VfB Stuttgart, who have won four out of the last five encounters against Hamburger SV, highlighting their dominance in this matchup. Furthermore, the average goals scored in these meetings has been notably high, with five out of five fixtures exceeding 2.5 goals, suggesting a tendency for high-scoring matches.

Head-to-Head History

In their previous encounters, VfB Stuttgart has consistently outperformed Hamburger SV, winning four out of five recent matches. This historical advantage will likely play a role in the psychological dynamics of the upcoming game, providing Stuttgart with confidence as they prepare to face their opponents.

Influencing Factors

The match will take place at the MHPArena, where VfB Stuttgart enjoys a significant home advantage, and the atmosphere is expected to be supportive. Additionally, weather conditions, which can affect gameplay, will be a factor to consider, but generally, Stuttgart’s home turf conditions favor their playing style.

Both teams are aware of the importance of this match, as points are critical for their aspirations. The pressure is on Stuttgart to capitalize on their home advantage, while Hamburger SV will need to overcome their away struggles to secure a favorable outcome.

Prediction and Justification

Given the current form, historical performance, and home advantage, VfB Stuttgart is favored to win this match. With their superior statistics at home and a solid record against Hamburger SV, Stuttgart is expected to come out on top. The predicted score for the match is 2:1.

Prediction

VfB Stuttgart is likely to emerge victorious in this matchup, leveraging their home advantage and historical success against Hamburger SV.

Predicted Score: 2:1