23.04.2026
Reading time: 3 min

Toulouse vs Monaco – Free Prediction (25.04.2026)

Toulouse
LLLLW

25 April 2026
19:05
Ligue 1

VS

Monaco
DLWWW

Player Ratings & Team Rating

Toulouse

Average rating
6.66

Top players:

  • A. Dønnum — 7.48 (5 g)
  • V. Sierro — 7.20 (0 g)
  • Y. Gboho — 7.20 (10 g)
  • C. Cásseres — 7.14 (2 g)
  • M. Sauer — 7.09 (1 g)

Monaco

Average rating
6.74

Top players:

  • P. Köhn — 8.00 (0 g)
  • G. Ilenikhena — 7.70 (4 g)
  • M. Biereth — 7.43 (5 g)
  • J. Teze — 7.30 (3 g)
  • L. Camara — 7.30 (0 g)

Clean Sheets / Both Teams To Score

Toulouse
Monaco


Strength


38% / 63%

Attacking Potential


47% / 53%

Defensive Potential


38% / 62%

Poisson Distribution


48% / 52%

Strength H2H


29% / 71%

Goals H2H


36% / 64%

Wins The Game



10% / 45% / 45%

Introduction

In the 31st round of Ligue 1, Toulouse will host Monaco at the Stadium de Toulouse. This match carries significant weight as both teams strive to enhance their standings in the league.

Form Analysis

Toulouse has had a challenging run recently, with their last five matches yielding only one win against Lorient, while suffering heavy defeats to Lens and Lille. Their performance at home has been inconsistent, reflected in a win rate of just 40% in their last five home games.

Conversely, Monaco’s recent form shows a more troubling trend, with only one victory in their last five outings, including a disappointing draw against Auxerre and a heavy loss to Paris FC. Despite this, they have managed to secure a stronger away form with a 67% win rate in their last five away matches, hinting at their potential to perform well on the road.

Statistical Analysis

Looking at the statistics, Toulouse has scored a total of 8 goals in their last five matches, while conceding 12, indicating defensive vulnerabilities. In contrast, Monaco has netted 8 goals as well, but they have conceded 10 in the same span, suggesting that both teams struggle defensively.

The head-to-head record between these two sides shows a competitive history, with both teams winning two matches each and one draw in their last five encounters. This parity reflects the potential for a closely contested match, highlighting the unpredictability of the outcome.

Head-to-Head History

The historical encounters between Toulouse and Monaco reveal a balanced contest, with each side having their share of victories. Notably, recent matches have shown that both teams can capitalize on their strengths, making this matchup particularly intriguing as they both aim to secure crucial points.

Influencing Factors

The weather conditions at match time are expected to be favorable, with a temperature of 18°C and scattered clouds, creating a pleasant environment for players and fans alike. Playing at home, Toulouse will aim to leverage their support, but their recent home form may hinder their confidence.

Monaco, on the other hand, has shown resilience in away matches and will look to exploit any defensive lapses from Toulouse. The referee for the match, C. Turpin, has a reputation for allowing the game to flow, which could favor an attacking style from both teams.

Prediction and Justification

Based on the current form, statistical analysis, and head-to-head history, I predict that Monaco will secure a draw or a narrow victory in this encounter. Toulouse’s struggles at home and Monaco’s ability to perform away lead me to forecast a final score of 1:2, favoring the visitors.

Prediction

I predict that Monaco will secure a draw or a narrow victory in this encounter.

Predicted Score: 1:2