23.04.2026
Reading time: 3 min

Rennes vs Nantes – Free Prediction (26.04.2026)

Rennes
WWWDL

26 April 2026
15:15
Ligue 1

VS

Nantes
LDDDL

Player Ratings & Team Rating

Rennes

Average rating
6.79

Top players:

  • V. Rongier — 8.15 (1 g)
  • Q. Merlin — 7.77 (3 g)
  • Mousa Tamari — 7.30 (6 g)
  • A. Rouault — 7.30 (1 g)
  • J. Jacquet — 7.03 (0 g)

Nantes

Average rating
6.76

Top players:

  • M. Abline — 8.50 (7 g)
  • Bahereba Guirassy — 7.60 (3 g)
  • T. Tati — 7.30 (0 g)
  • Anthony Lopes — 7.10 (0 g)
  • C. Awaziem — 6.92 (1 g)

Clean Sheets / Both Teams To Score

Rennes
Nantes


Strength


77% / 23%

Attacking Potential


77% / 23%

Defensive Potential


45% / 55%

Poisson Distribution


71% / 29%

Strength H2H


71% / 29%

Goals H2H


67% / 33%

Wins The Game



45% / 45% / 10%

Introduction

Rennes will face Nantes in the 31st round of Ligue 1, a matchup that promises to be pivotal for both teams as they navigate their respective seasons. As the stakes rise, both clubs will be keen to secure valuable points to bolster their positions in the league standings.

Form Analysis

Rennes has struggled in recent outings, with only one victory in their last five matches, a record that includes three defeats and one draw. Their last home match showcased their potential, where they overpowered Angers 2-1, but inconsistency remains a concern, as evidenced by their inability to capitalize on the home advantage in matches against Lille and Metz.

On the other hand, Nantes enters this match with a slightly more stable form, having managed one win, three draws, and one loss in their last five fixtures. However, their recent performances have not been inspiring, with a heavy 3-0 defeat to Paris Saint-Germain and a series of goalless draws that highlight their struggles in front of goal. Both teams are in desperate need of points as they aim to climb the Ligue 1 table.

Statistical Analysis

In terms of overall performance, Rennes has shown a stronger home record compared to Nantes’s away performances. Rennes has won 67% of their last five home games, while Nantes has only managed a disappointing 20% success rate in their recent away matches. This stark contrast in home and away form could play a crucial role in determining the outcome of the match.

When analyzing their head-to-head statistics, Rennes has historically had the upper hand, winning three of their last five encounters against Nantes. The average score in these matches has typically favored Rennes, with four out of five games seeing over 2.5 goals, suggesting that this fixture often produces goals, underscoring the attacking potential of both sides.

Head-to-Head History

The recent head-to-head encounters between Rennes and Nantes have been engaging, with Rennes winning three of the last five meetings. Their most recent match ended in a 2-2 draw, indicating that Nantes can be competitive, but the historical trend suggests that Rennes has the upper hand when it comes to securing wins.

Influencing Factors

The match will take place at Roazhon Park, where Rennes typically draws strength from their home crowd. The weather conditions are expected to be favorable, with a temperature of 20°C and minimal wind, which should allow for a free-flowing match. Additionally, with Rennes fighting for a higher position in the standings and Nantes desperate to avoid slipping further into the relegation zone, the psychological pressure on both teams could influence their performance significantly.

Prediction and Justification

Given the current form and historical performances, Rennes appears to hold the advantage in this matchup. Their recent home form and head-to-head success against Nantes suggest they are more likely to emerge victorious. Thus, I predict a close match with Rennes likely edging out a win, with a probable score of 2:1.

Prediction

Rennes is expected to secure a narrow victory over Nantes, capitalizing on their home advantage and recent form.

Predicted Score: 2:1