21.04.2026
Reading time: 3 min

Osasuna vs Sevilla – Free Prediction (26.04.2026)

Osasuna
DDWLD

26 April 2026
16:30
La Liga

VS

Sevilla
WLLLD

Player Ratings & Team Rating

Osasuna

Average rating
6.86

Top players:

  • Víctor Muñoz — 8.25 (6 g)
  • Raúl García — 7.67 (9 g)
  • Moi Gómez — 7.23 (1 g)
  • Sergio Herrera — 7.09 (0 g)
  • A. Budimir — 7.05 (17 g)

Sevilla

Average rating
6.81

Top players:

  • Ø. Nyland — 8.20 (0 g)
  • D. Lukebakio — 7.30 (1 g)
  • Rafa Mir — 7.06 (3 g)
  • Kike Salas — 7.02 (1 g)
  • Andrés Castrín — 6.96 (0 g)

Clean Sheets / Both Teams To Score

Osasuna
Sevilla


Strength


60% / 40%

Attacking Potential


58% / 42%

Defensive Potential


56% / 44%

Poisson Distribution


63% / 37%

Strength H2H


50% / 50%

Goals H2H


50% / 50%

Wins The Game



45% / 45% / 10%

Introduction

In the 32nd round of La Liga, Osasuna will face Sevilla at Estadio El Sadar. This clash is particularly crucial as both teams aim to secure vital points that could significantly affect their standings in the league.

Form Analysis

Osasuna has demonstrated a resilient form leading up to this match, with their recent games reflecting a strong defensive mindset. They have recorded two wins and three draws in their last five matches, showing an ability to secure points against competitive teams, although they have struggled to convert draws into victories consistently.

On the other hand, Sevilla has been less impressive in their recent outings, managing only one win in the last five matches. With three losses and a draw, their form is concerning, particularly given their high expectations at the start of the season. The team seems to be grappling with consistency, which could be detrimental as they face a determined Osasuna side.

Statistical Analysis

When analyzing the statistics, Osasuna’s home performance shows a 40% success rate in their last five matches, which is notably higher than Sevilla’s 27% away record. This disparity suggests that Osasuna will hold a slight advantage playing on familiar turf, where they tend to perform better.

In terms of head-to-head metrics, Osasuna has had the upper hand in their last five encounters against Sevilla, with two victories and three draws, while Sevilla has not managed to secure a win. This historical context could play a psychological role, giving Osasuna added confidence ahead of the match.

Head-to-Head History

The history of encounters between Osasuna and Sevilla reveals a tightly contested rivalry, with their last five matches yielding two wins for Osasuna, no victories for Sevilla, and three draws. The most recent meetings have seen a tendency for low-scoring affairs, indicating that both teams approach these matches with caution.

Influencing Factors

The match will take place at Estadio El Sadar, a venue where Osasuna traditionally thrives, further enhancing their chances of performing well. Home advantage often plays a critical role in football, as teams are more comfortable and familiar with their surroundings.

Additionally, weather conditions could also impact the game. If the pitch is in good condition, it may favor Osasuna’s tactical setup, which relies on quick transitions and solid defensive organization. Conversely, any adverse weather could level the playing field, potentially benefiting Sevilla if they can capitalize on counter-attacking opportunities.

Prediction and Justification

Given the current form, home advantage, and historical performance, Osasuna appears to be in a stronger position heading into this match. I predict that Osasuna will secure a win or at least a draw, leading to a likely scoreline of 2:1 in favor of Osasuna. This prediction is underpinned by their recent performances and the psychological edge gained from their head-to-head record against Sevilla.

Prediction

Osasuna is likely to win or draw based on their current form and home advantage.

Predicted Score: 2:1