11.04.2026
Reading time: 3 min

Nottingham Forest vs FC Porto – Free Prediction (16.04.2026)

Nottingham Forest
DWDL

16 April 2026
19:00
UEFA Europa League

VS

FC Porto
DDWWW

Player Ratings & Team Rating

Nottingham Forest

Average rating
6.68

Top players:

  • C. Hudson-Odoi — 9.20 (6 g)
  • M. Gibbs-White — 8.00 (11 g)
  • Igor Jesus — 7.60 (13 g)
  • Douglas Luiz — 7.30 (0 g)
  • Morato — 7.30 (0 g)

FC Porto

Average rating
6.78

Top players:

  • N. Pérez — 7.40 (1 g)
  • Martim Fernandes — 7.30 (1 g)
  • Diogo Costa — 7.25 (0 g)
  • Gonçalo Borges — 7.20 (0 g)
  • Rodrigo Mora — 7.14 (4 g)

Clean Sheets / Both Teams To Score

Nottingham Forest
FC Porto


Strength


39% / 61%

Attacking Potential


47% / 53%

Defensive Potential


44% / 56%

Poisson Distribution


62% / 38%

Strength H2H


80% / 20%

Goals H2H


75% / 25%

Wins The Game



45% / 45% / 10%

Introduction

Nottingham Forest will face FC Porto in a pivotal UEFA Europa League clash at the City Ground. Both teams are vying for crucial points to enhance their standings in the group stage, making this encounter particularly significant.

Form Analysis

Nottingham Forest has struggled recently, recording two draws and two losses in their last four matches, including a disappointing result against FC Midtjylland. Their home form is concerning, with only 47% success in the last five games, indicating challenges in converting opportunities into victories.

On the other hand, FC Porto has shown marginally better form, with just one win in their last four matches, which included a draw against Nottingham Forest earlier this season. Their away record stands at 73%, demonstrating their capability to perform on the road, although they too have faced challenges in consistency.

Statistical Analysis

In terms of head-to-head statistics, Nottingham Forest holds a slight edge with one win and one draw in their last two encounters against FC Porto. Both teams’ recent performances suggest a struggle to maintain defensive solidity, as evidenced by the average scoreline in their previous matches.

When looking at the overall statistics, Nottingham Forest has managed to score a total of four goals in their last five outings, while FC Porto has found the net eight times in the same period. This difference highlights Porto’s attacking prowess, but Nottingham’s defense has also shown resilience, especially at home, where they can leverage crowd support.

Head-to-Head History

The history between Nottingham Forest and FC Porto has been competitive, with the teams sharing the spoils in their last meeting with a 1-1 draw. Previous encounters have seen Nottingham secure a 2-0 victory, indicating their ability to perform well against the Portuguese side when playing at home.

Influencing Factors

The match will take place at the City Ground, where Nottingham Forest enjoys the backing of their home fans, which could provide an important psychological advantage. Weather conditions could also play a role, as rainy or windy conditions might affect the style of play, favoring a more physical and defensive game.

Additionally, the importance of the match for both teams cannot be overstated; the outcome could have a profound impact on their aspirations for advancing in the tournament. With both teams eager to secure points, the atmosphere is likely to be charged with intensity, adding to the pressure.

Prediction and Justification

Given the current form of both teams and their historical encounters, Nottingham Forest seems poised to secure at least a draw in this matchup, leveraging their home advantage. With their recent performances indicating a strong defensive capability and FC Porto’s inconsistency, the predicted score is 2:1 in favor of Nottingham Forest, as they look to capitalize on their home ground advantage.

Prediction

Predicted Score: 2:1