01.04.2026
Reading time: 3 min

Lazio vs Parma – Free Prediction (04.04.2026)

Lazio
WWWDL

04 April 2026
18:45
Serie A

VS

Parma
LLDDW

Player Ratings & Team Rating

Lazio

Average rating
6.85

Top players:

  • E. Motta — 7.47 (0 g)
  • C. Mandas — 7.30 (0 g)
  • F. Dele-Bashiru — 7.30 (1 g)
  • Mario Gila — 7.30 (0 g)
  • M. Guendouzi — 7.20 (2 g)

Parma

Average rating
6.87

Top players:

  • Mateo Pellegrino — 8.95 (11 g)
  • E. Valeri — 8.30 (0 g)
  • L. Valenti — 7.70 (0 g)
  • A. Benedyczak — 7.40 (2 g)
  • Adrián Bernabé — 7.08 (3 g)

Clean Sheets / Both Teams To Score

Lazio
Parma


Strength


67% / 33%

Attacking Potential


63% / 38%

Defensive Potential


70% / 30%

Poisson Distribution


65% / 35%

Strength H2H


71% / 29%

Goals H2H


54% / 46%

Wins The Game



45% / 45% / 10%

Introduction

In the 31st round of Serie A, Lazio will host Parma at the Stadio Olimpico. This encounter is pivotal as both teams are vying for crucial points to enhance their standings in the league.

Form Analysis

Lazio’s recent form shows a mixture of competitiveness and resilience, having secured three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five matches. They recently triumphed over AC Milan and Sassuolo, highlighting their ability to perform against strong opposition, although a disappointing defeat to Torino raises some concerns about consistency.

On the other hand, Parma has struggled to find their footing with only two wins in the last ten matches, offset by two draws and one loss. Their recent performances have been marked by a lack of scoring, evident in their matches against Torino and Cremonese, where they failed to find the net, contributing to their low ranking in the league.

Statistical Analysis

Lazio has shown a solid home performance, with a 67% success rate in their last five home matches. Their attacking prowess has been beneficial, averaging over two goals in their recent fixtures. Conversely, Parma’s away form has been poor, only managing a 33% success rate, and they have struggled defensively, conceding multiple goals in several outings.

When comparing head-to-head statistics, Lazio holds the upper hand with three wins out of the last five encounters against Parma. Both teams have a history of competitive matches, but Lazio’s recent form suggests they might capitalize on their home advantage effectively.

Head-to-Head History

Influencing Factors

Playing at the Stadio Olimpico provides Lazio with a significant advantage, as their home crowd can energize the players and contribute to their performance. The weather conditions are expected to be clear, which should favor an open game style, allowing teams to execute their strategies without hindrance.

Additionally, Lazio’s current form and attacking capabilities might play a crucial role, while Parma needs to overcome their away struggles to have a chance. The psychological pressure is also vital, as Lazio aims to maintain momentum towards the upper half of the table while Parma fights to avoid relegation.

Prediction and Justification

Considering the analyzing factors, Lazio’s strong home form and recent performances provide a solid foundation for their success in this matchup. With Parma’s inconsistent form, they are likely to struggle against a determined Lazio side. The predicted score is 2:1, reflecting Lazio’s ability to capitalize on their home advantage while Parma may find a way to score through counterattacks.

Prediction

Lazio is expected to secure the victory against Parma, leveraging their home advantage and superior form.

Predicted Score: 2:1