10.05.2026 • Updated: 14.05.2026

Reading time: 1 min

Eredivisie

Heerenveen vs Ajax – Free Prediction (17.05.2026)

John Kane Football Edge Director

Heerenveen

LWWLW

May 17, 2026

12:30

Eredivisie

Days

Hours

Minutes

Seconds

Ajax

LDWWL

H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

0% 1 Wins

0% 2 Draws

0% 12 Wins

Total games 15

Total Goals Avg 3.80

Both teams scored 53%

0.93 Total average 2.87

2.33 Yellow cards 1.33

0.00 Red cards 0.00

Last 5 matches

11.02.2024 Eredivisie

Heerenveen

Ajax

3 2 1 2 0 2

1.97 1.38

7 4

4 0

0 0

12.03.2023 Eredivisie

Heerenveen

Ajax

2 1 1 4 3 1

— —

5 8

2 2

0 0

16.10.2021 Eredivisie

Heerenveen

Ajax

0 0 0 2 1 1

— —

7 7

4 0

0 0

04.04.2021 Eredivisie

Heerenveen

Ajax

1 1 0 2 1 1

— —

2 9

0 1

0 0

03.03.2021 KNVB Beker

Heerenveen

Ajax

0 0 0 3 1 2

— —

1 4

0 0

Heerenveen

Team Overview

In their last match, Heerenveen faced NAC Breda in the Eredivisie, suffering a 0-2 defeat on the road. This result marked another setback for the home side as they continue to grapple with inconsistency.

Match statistics (NAC Breda vs Heerenveen):

Possession: 48% vs 52%
Corners: 7 vs 3
Fouls: 10 vs 13
Yellow cards: 1 vs 1
Shots on target: 4 vs 2

Ajax

Team Overview

Ajax's most recent encounter ended in disappointment as they lost 1-2 to Utrecht at home in the Eredivisie. This defeat halted their momentum, leaving them eager to bounce back in their next fixture.

Match statistics (Ajax vs Utrecht):

Possession: 64% vs 36%
Corners: 4 vs 7
Fouls: 9 vs 9
Yellow cards: 2 vs 2
Shots on target: 6 vs 6

Teams Form Analysis

Heerenveen has shown mixed results in their last ten matches, winning 5, losing 4, and drawing 1. They have scored a total of 8 goals while conceding 7, averaging 1.6 goals for and 1.4 against per game. In contrast, Ajax has been more consistent, with 6 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses in their last ten matches. They have scored 9 goals and conceded 6, averaging 1.8 goals for and 1.2 against per game.

Statistical Analysis & Influencing Factors

Historically, Ajax has dominated the head-to-head encounters, winning 12 out of 15 matches against Heerenveen. The average goals per game in these encounters is 3.80, indicating a high-scoring trend. In their last meeting on February 11, 2024, Heerenveen managed to win 3-2, which could provide them with a psychological boost. However, Ajax's overall performance and higher goal-scoring average suggest they remain the favorites.

Heerenveen — Ajax Prediction

Exact Score: 2 vs 3
1st Half: 1 vs 2
Goals (Total): 2 vs 3
Corners: 6 vs 6
Fouls: 10 vs 10
Yellow Cards: 3 vs 3
Shots on target: 5 vs 6
Offsides: 3 vs 3
Possession: 42% vs 58%

In terms of tactics, Heerenveen may adopt a more defensive approach, looking to absorb pressure and hit Ajax on the counter-attack. Ajax, on the other hand, will likely focus on maintaining possession and creating chances through their attacking play, utilizing their pace and skill to break down Heerenveen's defense.

3 Reasons Why Ajax Will Win

Head-to-Head Advantage. Ajax has won 12 out of the last 15 encounters against Heerenveen, showcasing their dominance in this matchup.
Superior Recent Form. Ajax's recent form includes 6 wins in their last 10 matches, compared to Heerenveen's 5, indicating a stronger overall performance.
Higher Goal Scoring Rate. Ajax averages 1.8 goals per game in their last 10 matches, while Heerenveen averages 1.6, giving Ajax an edge in offensive capabilities.