02.05.2026 • Updated: 14.05.2026

Reading time: 1 min

Serie A

Genoa vs AC Milan – Free Prediction (17.05.2026)

John Kane Football Edge Director

Genoa

DDLWW

May 17, 2026

13:00

Serie A

Days

Hours

Minutes

Seconds

AC Milan

LLDWL

H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

0% 3 Wins

0% 3 Draws

0% 9 Wins

Total games 15

Total Goals Avg 2.07

Both teams scored 33%

0.73 Total average 1.33

2.50 Yellow cards 2.70

0.43 Red cards 0.86

Last 5 matches

05.05.2025 Serie A

Genoa

AC Milan

1 0 1 2 0 2

0.60 0.99

8 7

1 5

0 0

07.10.2023 Serie A

Genoa

AC Milan

0 0 0 1 0 1

0.56 0.64

3 2

3 5

1 1

01.12.2021 Serie A

Genoa

AC Milan

0 0 0 3 2 1

— —

2 6

2 1

0 0

16.12.2020 Serie A

Genoa

AC Milan

2 0 2 2 0 2

— —

4 10

2 3

0 0

05.10.2019 Serie A

Genoa

AC Milan

1 1 0 2 0 2

— —

7 0

4 4

2 2

Genoa

Team Overview

In their latest Serie A encounter, Genoa faced Fiorentina away, where they managed to secure a goalless draw. This result leaves them struggling for form, having not won in their last ten matches.

Match statistics (Fiorentina vs Genoa):

Possession: 57% vs 43%
Corners: 4 vs 3
Fouls: 13 vs 14
Shots on target: 1 vs 3

AC Milan

Team Overview

AC Milan's most recent outing in Serie A saw them narrowly lose 3-2 to Atalanta at home. Despite a strong performance, they were unable to secure points, marking their second consecutive defeat.

Match statistics (AC Milan vs Atalanta):

Possession: 58% vs 42%
Corners: 2 vs 2
Fouls: 8 vs 17
Yellow cards: 3 vs 3
Shots on target: 9 vs 5

Teams Form Analysis

Genoa has struggled in their recent matches, managing only one win in their last ten games, with a total of four goals scored and four conceded in their last five matches. Their recent form shows a lack of offensive potency, averaging just 0.8 goals per game over the last ten matches.

In contrast, AC Milan has shown more resilience, winning three of their last five matches, although they have also faced challenges, conceding eight goals in their last five outings. Their attacking prowess has been more evident, with an average of 0.6 goals per game in their last ten matches.

Statistical Analysis & Influencing Factors

The head-to-head record favors AC Milan, who have won nine out of the last fifteen encounters against Genoa. In their last match, AC Milan secured a 2-1 victory, showcasing their ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities. Genoa's defensive frailties have been highlighted by their average of 1.6 goals conceded per game in their last ten matches, which could be a significant factor in this upcoming fixture.

Additionally, AC Milan's possession stats have been superior, averaging around 58% in their recent games, which allows them to control the pace and flow of the match. Genoa, on the other hand, has struggled to maintain possession, averaging only 40% in their last five matches.

Genoa — AC Milan Prediction

Exact Score: 1 vs 2
1st Half: 0 vs 1
Goals (Total): 1 vs 2
Corners: 8 vs 5
Fouls: 14 vs 13
Yellow Cards: 3 vs 5
Shots on target: 4 vs 6
Offsides: 2 vs 3
Possession: 40% vs 60%

In terms of tactics, Genoa may adopt a more defensive approach, looking to absorb pressure and hit AC Milan on the counter-attack. However, with AC Milan's attacking depth and ability to exploit defensive gaps, they are likely to dominate possession and create more scoring opportunities throughout the match.

3 Key Reasons for This Prediction

Head-to-Head Advantage. AC Milan has won 9 out of the last 15 encounters, indicating a strong psychological edge over Genoa.
Superior Recent Form. AC Milan has shown better form, winning 3 of their last 5 matches compared to Genoa's single win in the same period.
Defensive Vulnerabilities. Genoa's defense has been porous, conceding an average of 1.6 goals per game, which could be exploited by AC Milan's attacking players.