09.05.2026 • Updated: 14.05.2026

Reading time: 1 min

Fluminense vs Sao Paulo – Free Prediction (16.05.2026)

John Kane Football Edge Director

Fluminense

WDDLL

May 16, 2026

23:30

Serie A

Days

Hours

Minutes

Seconds

Sao Paulo

LDDD

H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

0% 4 Wins

0% 6 Draws

0% 5 Wins

Total games 15

Total Goals Avg 2.53

Both teams scored 73%

1.33 Total average 1.20

1.80 Yellow cards 2.50

0.20 Red cards 0.20

Last 5 matches

13.05.2024 Serie A

Sao Paulo

Fluminense

2 1 1 1 1 0

1.77 0.59

7 4

5 3

0 0

01.07.2023 Serie A

Sao Paulo

Fluminense

1 0 1 0 0 0

1.17 0.15

12 2

2 2

0 1

17.07.2022 Serie A

Sao Paulo

Fluminense

2 2 0 2 1 1

— —

5 3

4 2

0 0

30.05.2021 Serie A

Sao Paulo

Fluminense

0 0 0 0 0 0

— —

4 5

1 2

0 0

06.09.2020 Serie A

Sao Paulo

Fluminense

3 0 3 1 1 0

— —

3 2

3 0

0 0

Fluminense

Team Overview

In their latest outing, Fluminense secured a 2-1 victory against Operario-PR in the Copa Do Brasil. This win adds to their recent successes and reflects a positive trend as they prepare to face Sao Paulo.

Match statistics (Fluminense vs Operario-PR):

Possession: 52% vs 48%
Corners: 5 vs 1
Fouls: 24 vs 16
Yellow cards: 3 vs 5
Shots on target: 8 vs 5

Sao Paulo

Team Overview

Sao Paulo faced a tough defeat in their last match, losing 3-2 to Corinthians in Serie A. This result adds pressure as they head into their next fixture against Fluminense.

Match statistics (Corinthians vs Sao Paulo):

Possession: 50% vs 50%
Corners: 7 vs 7
Fouls: 12 vs 13
Yellow cards: 4 vs 4
Shots on target: 6 vs 4

Teams Form Analysis

Fluminense has shown a mixed form in their last ten matches, with 3 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses. They scored a total of 10 goals while conceding 14, indicating a struggle in defense. In contrast, Sao Paulo has been slightly more consistent, with 4 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses in their last ten matches, scoring 12 goals and conceding 15. This suggests that both teams have had their challenges, but Sao Paulo's recent performances have been marginally better.

Statistical Analysis & Influencing Factors

In their head-to-head encounters, Sao Paulo has a slight edge with 5 wins compared to Fluminense's 4 in the last 15 matches, with 6 games ending in a draw. The average goals per game in these encounters is 2.53, indicating a tendency for matches to be competitive and possibly high-scoring. Recent matches have also shown that Sao Paulo tends to dominate possession, averaging around 55% in their last few games, which could be a crucial factor in this upcoming match.

Fluminense — Sao Paulo Prediction

Exact Score: 1 vs 2
1st Half: 1 vs 1
Goals (Total): 1 vs 2
Corners: 4 vs 6
Fouls: 15 vs 15
Yellow Cards: 2 vs 3
Shots on target: 3 vs 5
Offsides: 1 vs 2
Possession: 45% vs 55%

Expect a tactical battle where Sao Paulo will likely focus on maintaining possession and creating chances through their midfield, while Fluminense may adopt a more defensive approach, looking to hit on the break. The effectiveness of set-pieces could also play a significant role in the outcome of this match.

3 Reasons Why Sao Paulo Will Win

Head-to-Head Advantage. Sao Paulo has won 5 out of the last 15 encounters, showcasing their ability to perform against Fluminense.
Better Recent Form. Sao Paulo has secured 4 wins in their last 10 matches, compared to Fluminense's 3, indicating a more stable performance level.
Possession Control. Sao Paulo has averaged 55% possession in recent matches, allowing them to dictate the pace and flow of the game, which could be crucial in this matchup.