14.04.2026
Reading time: 4 min

Everton vs Liverpool – Free Prediction (19.04.2026)

Everton
DWLWW

19 April 2026
13:00
Premier League

VS

Liverpool
WLLLW

Player Ratings & Team Rating

Everton

Average rating
7.06

Top players:

  • J. Garner — 8.90 (3 g)
  • J. Tarkowski — 8.70 (1 g)
  • C. Alcaraz — 8.30 (3 g)
  • H. Armstrong — 8.30 (0 g)
  • D. McNeil — 7.60 (2 g)

Liverpool

Average rating
6.88

Top players:

  • V. van Dijk — 9.30 (6 g)
  • Mohamed Salah — 9.20 (12 g)
  • H. Elliott — 8.30 (1 g)
  • D. Szoboszlai — 8.10 (12 g)
  • F. Chiesa — 7.60 (4 g)

Clean Sheets / Both Teams To Score

Everton
Liverpool


Strength


59% / 41%

Attacking Potential


50% / 50%

Defensive Potential


54% / 46%

Poisson Distribution


50% / 50%

Strength H2H


29% / 71%

Goals H2H


42% / 58%

Wins The Game



35% / 35% / 30%

Introduction

In Matchday 33 of the Premier League, Everton will host their fierce rivals Liverpool in a highly anticipated Merseyside derby. This clash promises to be a crucial encounter for both teams, particularly as they seek to solidify their standings in the league.

Form Analysis

Everton’s recent form has shown a commendable resilience, with the team securing three victories in their last ten matches. Their last outing ended in a dramatic draw against Brentford, but prior to that, they produced a stunning 3-0 victory over Chelsea and a convincing 2-0 win against Burnley. However, they did experience a setback against Arsenal, which highlights the inconsistency that has plagued their campaign.

On the other hand, Liverpool finds themselves in a troubling spiral, having failed to win any of their last five matches. Their recent performances have raised concerns, particularly after a heavy defeat to Manchester City and a disappointing loss against Brighton. The defeat to Paris Saint-Germain in the Champions League further compounds their struggles, and the pressure is mounting on the team to reverse their fortunes.

Statistical Analysis

In terms of statistics, Everton boasts a home form percentage of 67% over their last five home matches, indicating a strong performance at Goodison Park. Their ability to score and maintain defensive solidity has been evident, with a recent average of 2.4 goals per match in their head-to-head encounters against Liverpool.

Conversely, Liverpool has struggled away from home, managing only a 47% form rating in their last five matches on the road. This stark contrast in home and away performances could play a significant role in the outcome of the match, especially considering Everton’s recent head-to-head dominance.

Head-to-Head History

The historical context of this matchup leans heavily in favor of Everton, who have emerged victorious in four of the last five encounters with Liverpool. Recent matches have seen Everton not only hold their ground but also outplay their rivals, which adds an extra layer of confidence for the home side ahead of this derby.

Influencing Factors

The weather is expected to be clear with a temperature of 4°C, providing a suitable atmosphere for football. The match will take place at Hill Dickinson Stadium, where Everton has historically performed well, giving them a psychological advantage. The home crowd is likely to be a significant factor, providing unwavering support that could spur Everton on to deliver a strong performance.

Furthermore, the stakes are high for both teams, with Everton aiming to climb away from the relegation zone while Liverpool desperately seeks to break their winless streak. The pressure of the derby adds an additional layer of intensity that could influence both teams’ performances dramatically.

Prediction and Justification

Given the current form and statistical analysis, the prediction leans towards a favorable outcome for Everton, who seem poised to capitalize on Liverpool’s struggles. The combination of home advantage and their recent head-to-head success puts Everton in a strong position to secure at least a point, if not all three. Therefore, the anticipated scoreline is 2:1 in favor of Everton, reflecting their current momentum and Liverpool’s ongoing difficulties.

Prediction

Everton is likely to secure a victory or at least a draw given their recent form and home advantage.

Predicted Score: 2:1