19.03.2026
Reading time: 3 min

Everton vs Chelsea – Preview (21.03.2026)

Everton
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21 March 2026
17:30
Premier League

VS

Chelsea
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Player Ratings & Team Rating

Everton

Average rating
7.06

Top players:

  • J. Garner — 8.90 (3 g)
  • J. Tarkowski — 8.70 (1 g)
  • C. Alcaraz — 8.30 (3 g)
  • H. Armstrong — 8.30 (0 g)
  • D. McNeil — 7.60 (2 g)

Chelsea

Average rating
6.93

Top players:

  • Joshua Kofi Acheampong — 7.90 (2 g)
  • C. Palmer — 7.85 (16 g)
  • T. Adarabioyo — 7.60 (3 g)
  • E. Fernández — 7.50 (14 g)
  • M. Mudryk — 7.50 (0 g)

Clean Sheets / Both Teams To Score

Everton
Chelsea


Strength


55% / 45%

Attacking Potential


43% / 57%

Defensive Potential


50% / 50%

Poisson Distribution


32% / 68%

Strength H2H


29% / 71%

Goals H2H


18% / 82%

Wins The Game



10% / 45% / 45%

Introduction

In the 31st round of the Premier League, Everton will face Chelsea at Hill Dickinson Stadium. This match carries significant weight for both teams as they aim to secure crucial points to improve their standings in the league.

Form Analysis

Everton’s recent form has been a mixed bag, with two victories in their last ten matches, but they have suffered three defeats recently. Despite a commendable win against Burnley, their performance against top teams like Arsenal and Manchester United has raised concerns, indicating potential vulnerabilities in their defensive structure.

On the other hand, Chelsea has shown a slightly better form with three wins in their last ten matches, although they have recently been defeated by Paris Saint Germain and Newcastle. Their attacking prowess was on display in the match against Aston Villa, where they secured a convincing win, but inconsistency in defense remains a concern for them as well.

Statistical Analysis

When analyzing the statistics, Everton has recorded a home win rate of 40% in their last five matches, while Chelsea has a lower away win rate of 33%. The head-to-head record slightly favors Chelsea, who have had more success historically against Everton, including a recent 2-0 win in their previous encounter.

Both teams have struggled to maintain consistent performances, with Everton managing to score only 2.2 goals on average in their last five meetings with Chelsea. Chelsea may have the edge statistically, but both teams must improve their goal-scoring efficiency to secure a win in this matchup.

Head-to-Head History

The head-to-head record shows that Chelsea has had the upper hand in recent encounters, winning four of their last five meetings with Everton. However, Everton managed to secure a notable victory in their last home match against Chelsea, which could provide them with a psychological boost going into this game.

Influencing Factors

The weather conditions at the time of the match will be relatively mild, with a temperature of 12°C and only a light breeze, which should not significantly affect the players’ performances. Playing at home, Everton will seek to use their familiar surroundings to their advantage, although their recent form at Hill Dickinson Stadium has been inconsistent.

Furthermore, the referee S. Barrott’s officiating style could impact the match’s flow, especially in high-pressure situations. Both teams will be eager to capitalize on any mistakes made by the officials, potentially influencing the outcome of this critical fixture.

Prediction and Justification

Considering the current form, historical context, and statistical analysis, Chelsea seems to hold a slight advantage in this encounter. Their recent performances indicate a capacity for improvement, while Everton’s struggles against top-tier teams suggest they may find it challenging to secure a victory. Therefore, I predict a close match with a likely score of 1:2 in favor of Chelsea.

Prediction

Predicted Score: 1:2