Crawley Town vs Gillingham - Free Prediction (28.03.2026)

Player Ratings & Team Rating

Crawley Town

Average rating
6.71

Top players:

K. Dixon — 8.30 (1 g)
B. Radcliffe — 7.47 (2 g)
J. Wollacott — 7.35 (0 g)
K. Scott — 7.10 (0 g)
A. Adeyemo — 7.00 (1 g)

Gillingham

Average rating
6.64

Top players:

M. Clark — 8.50 (3 g)
J. Turner — 7.90 (0 g)
S. Ogie — 7.20 (0 g)
S. Gale — 7.20 (1 g)
R. Hutton — 6.96 (0 g)

Clean Sheets / Both Teams To Score

Crawley Town
Gillingham

Strength

75% / 25%

Attacking Potential

50% / 50%

Defensive Potential

71% / 29%

Poisson Distribution

51% / 49%

Strength H2H

38% / 62%

Goals H2H

50% / 50%

Wins The Game

45% / 45% / 10%

Introduction

In the 40th round of League Two, Crawley Town is set to face off against Gillingham at The Broadfield Stadium. This match holds significant importance as both teams strive to secure vital points to enhance their standings in the league.

Form Analysis

Crawley Town has struggled to find their footing in recent matches, recording only two wins in their last ten outings. Their home form has been particularly concerning, with just a 20% success rate in their last five home games, which adds pressure as they prepare to host Gillingham.

On the other hand, Gillingham has had a mixed bag of results, winning three of their last ten matches but only managing one draw. Their away form is even more alarming, having secured only 7% of possible points in their last five away games, which leaves them vulnerable in this clash.

Statistical Analysis

When comparing the two teams, Crawley Town has shown a slightly better overall form than Gillingham, especially considering their recent matches where they have managed some draws against tougher opponents. Gillingham, however, has faced heavier defeats, notably a 5-0 loss against Cambridge United and a 2-0 loss to Swindon Town, indicating defensive frailties that Crawley could exploit.

Head-to-head statistics show that Crawley has a slight edge with one win in the last five encounters, while Gillingham has managed two victories. The average score of their encounters suggests that matches tend to be closely contested, with only one of the last five exceeding two goals, hinting at a potential low-scoring affair.

Head-to-Head History

The recent head-to-head history between Crawley Town and Gillingham indicates a competitive rivalry. Their last five encounters have resulted in two draws and two wins for Gillingham, showcasing the potential for unpredictability in this matchup. The past meetings suggest that both teams are capable of scoring, but also highlight a tendency for stalemates.

Influencing Factors

The weather conditions for the match, with light rain and a temperature of 9°C, could impact the playing surface and affect the style of play. Crawley Town, playing at home, will hope to leverage this advantage, yet their recent form at The Broadfield Stadium raises concerns.

Additionally, the psychological aspect of the game cannot be overlooked. With both teams under pressure to secure points, the stakes will be high, potentially leading to a cautious approach from both sides as they aim to avoid mistakes that could lead to conceding goals.

Prediction and Justification

Considering the current form and statistical analysis, Crawley Town is favored to secure at least a draw against Gillingham, given their marginally better recent performances and the home advantage. A cautious approach from both teams may lead to a tightly contested match with a likely score of 2:1 in favor of Crawley Town. The prediction suggests that Crawley will capitalize on Gillingham’s defensive weaknesses while managing to hold their ground defensively.