08.05.2026 • Updated: 10.05.2026

Reading time: 1 min

Burnley vs Aston Villa – Free Prediction (10.05.2026)

John Kane Football Edge Director

Burnley

DLLLL

May 10, 2026

13:00

Premier League

2 — 2

Days

Hours

Minutes

Seconds

Aston Villa

DWLLL

H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

0% 2 Wins

0% 5 Draws

0% 5 Wins

Total games 12

Total Goals Avg 3.08

Both teams scored 83%

1.33 Total average 1.75

1.60 Yellow cards 1.30

1.00 Red cards 0.00

Last 5 matches

10.05.2026 Premier League

Burnley

Aston Villa

2 1 1 2 1 1

1.77 1.42

2 8

1 1

0 0

05.10.2025 Premier League

Aston Villa

Burnley

2 1 1 1 0 1

1.16 0.40

6 4

3 1

0 0

30.12.2023 Premier League

Aston Villa

Burnley

3 2 1 2 1 1

3.23 1.17

6 2

4 3

0 1

27.08.2023 Premier League

Burnley

Aston Villa

1 0 1 3 2 1

0.73 2.70

4 6

2 0

0 0

19.05.2022 Premier League

Aston Villa

Burnley

1 0 1 1 1 0

— —

13 6

0 1

Burnley

Team Overview

In their latest Premier League match, Burnley hosted Aston Villa, resulting in a 2-2 draw. Despite being outplayed in terms of possession, they managed to secure a point at home.

Match statistics (Burnley vs Aston Villa):

Possession: 34% vs 66%
Corners: 2 vs 8
Fouls: 17 vs 8
Yellow cards: 1 vs 1
Shots on target: 6 vs 7

Aston Villa

Team Overview

Aston Villa faced Burnley away in their most recent Premier League encounter, which ended in a 2-2 draw. The team showcased their attacking capabilities but couldn't secure a win despite dominating possession.

Match statistics (Burnley vs Aston Villa):

Possession: 34% vs 66%
Corners: 2 vs 8
Fouls: 17 vs 8
Yellow cards: 1 vs 1
Shots on target: 6 vs 7

Match Result

Burnley and Aston Villa Share the Spoils in Thrilling 2-2 Draw

In an exhilarating clash at Turf Moor, Burnley and Aston Villa played out a captivating 2-2 draw, with both teams showcasing their attacking prowess and tactical discipline. The match saw early excitement as Burnley took the lead through J. Anthony in the 8th minute, only for Aston Villa to respond with a goal from R. Barkley just before halftime.

The first half was marked by a disallowed goal for Villa, as O. Watkins was ruled offside in the 39th minute, a pivotal moment that kept the home side in the lead. However, Villa's pressure paid off when Barkley equalized in the 42nd minute, leveling the score just before the break. The second half continued to deliver drama, with Watkins scoring again for Villa in the 56th minute, putting them ahead for the first time.

Burnley, undeterred, found their equalizer just three minutes later through Z. Flemming, who capitalized on a well-placed assist from H. Mejbri. The match statistics reflected a closely contested battle, with Aston Villa dominating possession at 66% and registering 18 total shots compared to Burnley's 15. Despite this, Burnley managed to create significant chances, with both teams recording six shots on target.

Ultimately, the draw leaves both teams with much to ponder as they head into the final stretch of the season. Burnley will take heart from their resilience, while Aston Villa will need to refine their finishing to convert more of their chances into victories. With a total of 17 fouls committed by Burnley against Villa's 8, the match also highlighted the physical nature of the encounter, indicative of the stakes involved as both teams vie for crucial points in the Premier League.

Match Timeline

Burnley

Aston Villa

Goal

J. Anthony

39'

VAR

O. Watkins • Goal Disallowed - offside

42'

Goal

R. Barkley • Assist: J. McGinn

49'

Yellow Card

T. Mings • Yellow Card | Roughing

56'

Goal

O. Watkins • Assist: E. Martinez

Goal

Z. Flemming • Assist: H. Mejbri

59'

Yellow Card

Z. Flemming • Yellow Card | Roughing

60'

Substitution

In: H. Mejbri for L. Foster

69'

74'

Substitution

In: I. Maatsen for L. Digne

74'

Substitution

In: V. Lindelof for E. Buendia

Substitution

In: L. Ugochukwu for J. Laurent

79'

Substitution

In: Z. Flemming for Z. Amdouni

80'

Substitution

In: R. Barkley for Douglas Luiz

80'

Substitution

In: M. Cash for L. Bogarde

85'

Substitution

In: J. McGinn for L. Bailey

Substitution

In: J. Anthony for J. Bruun Larsen

87'

Substitution

In: Florentino for J. Ward-Prowse

88'

Teams Form Analysis

Burnley has struggled in their recent matches, with only 4 goals scored in their last 5 games, averaging 0.8 goals per game. They have conceded 12 goals during this period, averaging 2.4 goals against per game. In contrast, Aston Villa has shown better form, scoring 7 goals in their last 5 matches, averaging 1.4 goals per game, while conceding 6 goals, averaging 1.2 goals against per game.

In their last encounter, Burnley drew 2-2 with Aston Villa, showcasing their ability to compete but also highlighting their defensive vulnerabilities. The head-to-head record shows that Aston Villa has a slight edge with 5 wins compared to Burnley's 2 in their last 12 meetings.

Statistical Analysis & Influencing Factors

The statistical analysis indicates that Burnley has a lower expected goals (xG) of 1.77 in their last match against Aston Villa, while Villa had an xG of 1.42. This suggests that Burnley was more efficient in converting their chances. However, Burnley's defensive record is concerning, as they have allowed an average of 2.4 goals against per game in their last 5 matches. Villa's attacking prowess, with an average of 1.4 goals per game in their recent fixtures, could exploit Burnley's defensive frailties.

Additionally, the head-to-head statistics reveal that both teams have a high percentage of matches ending with both teams scoring (83%). This trend, combined with their recent form, suggests a high likelihood of goals in their upcoming match.

Burnley — Aston Villa Prediction

Exact Score: 2 vs 2
1st Half: 1 vs 1
Goals (Total): 2 vs 2
Corners: 2 vs 8
Fouls: 17 vs 8
Yellow Cards: 1 vs 1
Shots on target: 6 vs 7
Offsides: 1 vs 2
Possession: 34% vs 66%

Tactically, Burnley may adopt a more defensive approach, looking to absorb pressure and hit on the counter, while Aston Villa will likely dominate possession and push for an early goal to unsettle the home side. The effectiveness of Burnley's counter-attacks will be crucial in determining the outcome of the match.

3 Reasons Why Aston Villa Will Win

Superior Recent Form. Aston Villa has averaged 1.4 goals per game in their last 5 matches, compared to Burnley's 0.8, indicating a more potent attack.
Head-to-Head Advantage. Villa has won 5 out of the last 12 encounters, showcasing their ability to perform against Burnley.
Defensive Vulnerabilities of Burnley. Burnley has conceded an average of 2.4 goals per game in their last 5 matches, which could be exploited by Villa's attacking players.