17.04.2026
Reading time: 3 min

Bournemouth vs Leeds – Free Prediction (22.04.2026)

Bournemouth
WDDDD

22 April 2026
19:00
Premier League

VS

Leeds
WDDW

Player Ratings & Team Rating

Bournemouth

Average rating
6.74

Top players:

  • M. Senesi — 8.30 (0 g)
  • M. Tavernier — 8.20 (6 g)
  • J. Hill — 7.70 (0 g)
  • R. Christie — 7.30 (2 g)
  • D. Ouattara — 7.30 (0 g)

Leeds

Average rating
6.84

Top players:

  • J. Bogle — 8.00 (2 g)
  • Lucas Perri — 7.67 (0 g)
  • K. Darlow — 7.60 (0 g)
  • J. Bijol — 7.50 (4 g)
  • A. Tanaka — 7.40 (4 g)

Clean Sheets / Both Teams To Score

Bournemouth
Leeds


Strength


58% / 42%

Attacking Potential


71% / 29%

Defensive Potential


43% / 57%

Poisson Distribution


66% / 34%

Strength H2H


29% / 71%

Goals H2H


48% / 52%

Wins The Game



45% / 45% / 10%

Introduction

In the 34th round of the Premier League, Bournemouth will host Leeds at Vitality Stadium. This clash sees two teams vying for crucial points as they navigate the ever-complex landscape of the league table.

Form Analysis

Bournemouth has been struggling to secure wins lately, with their last victory coming in their previous ten matches. They have recorded four draws and one loss in their last five outings, demonstrating a tendency to collect points despite not converting opportunities into wins.

On the other hand, Leeds has shown a slightly better form, managing one win out of their last five matches. Their recent games have been characterized by defensive solidity, as evidenced by three consecutive draws. However, they need to capitalize on their game against Bournemouth to maintain momentum and improve their league standing.

Statistical Analysis

In terms of overall performance, Bournemouth has had a home form of 47% in their last five matches, indicating a moderate level of success at home. In contrast, Leeds’ away form stands at 33%, suggesting they often struggle to perform on the road.

When looking at their head-to-head metrics, Bournemouth has been historically stronger, winning three out of their last five encounters against Leeds. However, both teams display an ability to score, with an average of 4.2 goals in their previous meetings, indicating that this could be a high-scoring affair.

Head-to-Head History

The historical matchups between Bournemouth and Leeds have produced some thrilling contests. Their last five encounters resulted in three wins for Bournemouth, one for Leeds, and one draw. Notably, the matches often featured a high number of goals, showcasing both teams’ attacking capabilities.

Influencing Factors

The weather conditions for the match are expected to be cool, with a temperature of 11°C and a humidity level of 90%. Such conditions may affect player performance and stamina, potentially favoring the home side, who are more accustomed to the local climate.

Playing at home, Bournemouth will have the added advantage of familiar surroundings and support from their fans. This factor could play a significant role in boosting their performance and morale as they strive to secure a vital win against Leeds.

Prediction and Justification

Given the current form and home advantage, Bournemouth is likely to emerge victorious in this matchup. Their recent draw-heavy performance suggests they can secure points, but against a Leeds side that has struggled away, Bournemouth might capitalize on this opportunity. The predicted score is 2:1, reflecting Bournemouth’s potential to convert their home advantage into a crucial win while Leeds may find it challenging to maintain their recent form on the road.

Prediction

Bournemouth is expected to win the match, leveraging their home advantage and recent form.

Predicted Score: 2:1