22.04.2026
Reading time: 3 min

Borussia Dortmund vs SC Freiburg – Free Prediction (26.04.2026)

Borussia Dortmund
LLWWW

26 April 2026
15:30
Bundesliga

VS

SC Freiburg
WWWWL

Player Ratings & Team Rating

Borussia Dortmund

Average rating
6.95

Top players:

  • G. Kobel — 7.93 (0 g)
  • N. Süle — 7.90 (0 g)
  • P. Drewes — 7.70 (0 g)
  • N. Schlotterbeck — 7.67 (4 g)
  • F. Mané — 7.50 (0 g)

SC Freiburg

Average rating
6.98

Top players:

  • F. Müller — 7.93 (0 g)
  • P. Lienhart — 7.65 (1 g)
  • J. Manzambi — 7.65 (6 g)
  • V. Grifo — 7.48 (13 g)
  • M. Ginter — 7.44 (4 g)

Clean Sheets / Both Teams To Score

Borussia Dortmund
SC Freiburg


Strength


50% / 50%

Attacking Potential


53% / 47%

Defensive Potential


55% / 45%

Poisson Distribution


77% / 23%

Strength H2H


93% / 7%

Goals H2H


80% / 20%

Wins The Game



45% / 45% / 10%

Introduction

In the 31st round of the Bundesliga, Borussia Dortmund will face off against SC Freiburg at the iconic Signal Iduna Park. This matchup is poised to be a pivotal one, with both teams keen on gaining crucial points to boost their standings in the league.

Form Analysis

Borussia Dortmund has shown a mixed bag of results in their recent outings, with three wins and two losses in their last five matches. Notably, they secured victories against VfB Stuttgart and FC Augsburg, but suffered disappointing losses to Bayer Leverkusen and 1899 Hoffenheim. This inconsistency has left them striving for stability as they head into this crucial clash.

On the other hand, SC Freiburg also holds a similar record, with three wins and two losses in their last five games. Their recent form includes a notable win against 1. FC Heidenheim and a solid performance against Celta Vigo, showcasing their attacking capabilities. However, they were edged out by Bayern München in a close contest, indicating that they too are in search of a reliable run of form.

Statistical Analysis

Both teams exhibit comparable statistics, with Borussia Dortmund having a home form of 60% in their last five matches, while SC Freiburg matches this with a 60% away form. Dortmund’s ability to score has been more pronounced in their home fixtures, often managing to find the back of the net multiple times, as evidenced by their average goals per match. In contrast, Freiburg, while defensively solid, has shown vulnerability against top-tier teams, which might impact their performance in this upcoming match.

Head-to-head metrics suggest a competitive history between the two sides, with Borussia Dortmund winning two of the last five encounters and Freiburg also claiming two victories. The average scoreline in those matches indicates a possibility of goals, with four out of the last five matches going over 2.5 goals, hinting at an attacking mindset from both teams.

Head-to-Head History

The head-to-head record between Borussia Dortmund and SC Freiburg reveals a closely contested rivalry, with both teams having had their share of victories. Recent encounters have seen Dortmund frequently dominate, but Freiburg’s resilience has allowed them to secure important points in this matchup, including a memorable draw in their last face-off.

Influencing Factors

The match will take place at the Signal Iduna Park, where Borussia Dortmund enjoys a significant home advantage, bolstered by their passionate fanbase. Weather conditions are expected to be favorable, with clear skies allowing for an open and attacking game. Additionally, the psychological aspect of this being a must-win for both teams could lead to an intense and high-paced match, influencing player performances on both sides.

Prediction and Justification

Given the current form and head-to-head records, Borussia Dortmund seems to have the upper hand, especially playing at home. Their attacking prowess and ability to score in crucial moments could prove decisive against a Freiburg side that, while capable, has shown inconsistency. Therefore, the match may likely end with Borussia Dortmund winning, with a predicted score of 2:1.

Prediction

Borussia Dortmund is expected to win, given their home advantage and current form.

Predicted Score: 2:1