04.04.2026
Reading time: 4 min

Bologna vs Aston Villa – Free Prediction (09.04.2026)

Bologna
LWDL

09 April 2026
19:00
UEFA Europa League

VS

Aston Villa
WWLWL

Player Ratings & Team Rating

Bologna

Average rating
6.87

Top players:

  • S. Castro — 7.60 (11 g)
  • L. Ferguson — 7.50 (1 g)
  • J. Rowe — 7.50 (5 g)
  • G. Fabbian — 7.50 (2 g)
  • N. Cambiaghi — 7.30 (4 g)

Aston Villa

Average rating
6.81

Top players:

  • M. Bizot — 8.48 (0 g)
  • E. Konsa — 7.70 (0 g)
  • A. Onana — 7.50 (2 g)
  • Y. Tielemans — 7.43 (1 g)
  • E. Barrenechea — 7.33 (1 g)

Clean Sheets / Both Teams To Score

Bologna
Aston Villa


Strength


46% / 54%

Attacking Potential


53% / 47%

Defensive Potential


43% / 57%

Poisson Distribution


38% / 62%

Strength H2H


0% / 100%

Goals H2H


0% / 100%

Wins The Game



10% / 45% / 45%

Introduction

In the UEFA Europa League, Bologna will face Aston Villa in what promises to be an intriguing matchup. Both teams are looking to secure vital points that could impact their standings in the group stages.

Form Analysis

Bologna comes into this match with a shaky form, having not secured a victory in their last four matches, recording one draw and three losses. Their most recent performance saw them suffer a defeat against Lazio, which has undoubtedly affected their morale as they search for a much-needed win. Despite their struggles, Bologna remains a formidable side at home, where they typically perform better.

Aston Villa, on the other hand, is riding a wave of confidence, having won two out of their last four matches, including a solid performance against West Ham and a convincing win over Lille. However, their recent loss to Manchester United and a heavy defeat to Chelsea highlight some vulnerabilities in their defense. Nevertheless, they have shown resilience and will aim to build on their recent successes as they travel to Bologna.

Statistical Analysis

When comparing the statistics of both teams, Aston Villa has a slight edge with a 50% win rate in their last ten matches, in contrast to Bologna’s dismal performance of just 10%. Bologna has struggled to find the back of the net consistently, while Aston Villa’s attacking prowess has often resulted in multiple goals in their outings. Additionally, Aston Villa has maintained a strong record away from home, winning all their last five away matches, whereas Bologna has only managed a minimal performance at home lately.

In terms of defensive statistics, both teams have shown weaknesses, but Aston Villa has a more robust defensive record, conceding fewer goals than Bologna. This trend suggests that Aston Villa might capitalize on Bologna’s defensive frailties, especially given the latter’s recent matches that have seen them unable to secure clean sheets.

Head-to-Head History

The head-to-head history between Bologna and Aston Villa favors the English side, with Villa winning both of their last encounters. The most recent match ended with a 2-0 victory for Aston Villa, showcasing their ability to dominate the Italian side in previous meetings.

Influencing Factors

The match will take place at Bologna’s home ground, which could provide them with a slight advantage, as they typically perform better in front of their fans. However, the pressure of needing points might weigh heavily on them, especially considering their recent poor form. Weather conditions could also play a role, as a wet pitch may hinder their performance and affect playing styles.

Aston Villa’s current form and confidence are significant factors that could influence the outcome of this match. With a balanced squad and the ability to adapt their gameplay, they might exploit Bologna’s weaknesses, particularly in defense, which has been a recurring issue for the home side.

Prediction and Justification

Considering the current form and head-to-head history, Aston Villa appears to be the stronger team heading into this match. Their away form is impressive, and they have a more potent attack compared to Bologna’s recent struggles. Therefore, I predict a victory for Aston Villa, with a likely scoreline of 1:2.

Prediction

Aston Villa is expected to win this match, given their recent form and head-to-head advantage.

Predicted Score: 1:2