Sunderland vs Chelsea – Free Prediction (24.05.2026)

Teams Form Analysis

Sunderland has shown a strong performance in their last 10 matches, winning 6, drawing 2, and losing 2. They scored a total of 20 goals, averaging 2 goals per game, while conceding 12, resulting in an average of 1.2 goals against per game. In contrast, Chelsea's recent form has been less impressive, with only 3 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses in their last 10 matches, scoring 15 goals and conceding 22, averaging 1.5 goals for and 2.2 against per game.

In their most recent encounter, Sunderland defeated Chelsea 2-1, showcasing their capability to compete effectively against them. This victory adds to Sunderland's confidence as they approach this match, while Chelsea will be looking to improve their form and regain their competitive edge.

Statistical Analysis & Influencing Factors

In terms of head-to-head statistics, Sunderland has historically struggled against Chelsea, with only 4 wins out of 15 encounters. Chelsea has a significant advantage with 10 wins and an average of 3.53 goals per game in these matchups. However, Sunderland's recent victory may indicate a shift in momentum. The last match saw Sunderland outperforming their expected goals (xG) of 1.94 against Chelsea's xG of 0.90, suggesting they can capitalize on their chances effectively.

Additionally, Sunderland's home advantage at the Stadium of Light cannot be overlooked, as they have been more resilient at home compared to Chelsea's away form, which has been inconsistent. The number of corners and fouls in their last match also indicates a physical game, which could play a role in the upcoming match dynamics.

Sunderland — Chelsea Prediction

• Exact Score: 2 vs 1
• 1st Half: 1 vs 0
• Goals (Total): 2 vs 1
• Corners: 6 vs 2
• Fouls: 15 vs 12
• Yellow Cards: 5 vs 5
• Shots on target: 6 vs 3
• Offsides: 2 vs 1
• Possession: 45% vs 55%

In terms of tactical expectations, Sunderland is likely to adopt a counter-attacking strategy, utilizing their pace on the wings to exploit Chelsea's defensive vulnerabilities. Chelsea, on the other hand, may focus on maintaining possession and creating chances through their midfield, but they must be wary of Sunderland's quick transitions.

3 Key Reasons for This Prediction

• Strong Recent Form. Sunderland has won 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 20 goals, while Chelsea has only 3 wins in the same period.
• Head-to-Head Advantage. Sunderland's recent victory against Chelsea adds confidence, despite Chelsea's historical dominance in their matchups.
• Home Advantage. Sunderland's performance at the Stadium of Light has been significantly better than Chelsea's away form, which has seen them struggle in recent matches.

Match Prediction

24.05.2026 15:00 Premier League

Sunderland 2 1 1

Chelsea 1 0 1

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