AZ Alkmaar vs NAC Breda – Free Prediction (17.05.2026)

Teams Form Analysis

AZ Alkmaar has shown strong form in their last ten matches, scoring a total of 10 goals and conceding 6, averaging 2.0 goals per game. Their recent performance includes a notable 5-1 victory in the KNVB Beker final. In contrast, NAC Breda has struggled, managing only 3 goals in their last ten matches while conceding 5, averaging 0.6 goals per game.

This disparity in form suggests that AZ Alkmaar enters this match with a significant advantage, especially given their recent success in cup competitions.

Statistical Analysis & Influencing Factors

Historically, AZ Alkmaar has dominated their encounters with NAC Breda, winning 9 out of the last 15 matches, which translates to a 60% win rate. In their previous encounter on August 31, 2025, AZ won 1-0, showcasing their defensive solidity and ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities, as indicated by their higher expected goals (xG) in that match (2.82 for AZ vs. 1.96 for NAC).

Moreover, AZ Alkmaar's attacking prowess is reflected in their average of 2.0 goals per game over their last ten matches, compared to NAC Breda's 0.6 goals per game. This suggests that AZ is not only more efficient in front of goal but also more resilient defensively.

AZ Alkmaar — NAC Breda Prediction

• Exact Score: 3 vs 1
• 1st Half: 1 vs 0
• Goals (Total): 3 vs 1
• Corners: 7 vs 3
• Fouls: 12 vs 14
• Yellow Cards: 3 vs 2
• Shots on target: 8 vs 3
• Offsides: 2 vs 1
• Possession: 62% vs 38%

Tactically, AZ Alkmaar is expected to control possession and utilize their width to stretch the NAC defense, creating space for their forwards. NAC Breda may adopt a more defensive posture, looking to counter-attack, but their lack of recent scoring form could hinder their effectiveness in this approach.

3 Reasons Why AZ Alkmaar Will Win

• Projected Score Edge.
• Strong Recent Form.
• Head-to-Head Advantage.

Match Prediction

17.05.2026 12:30 Eredivisie

AZ Alkmaar 3 1 2

NAC Breda 1 0 1

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