09.05.2026 • Updated: 11.05.2026

Reading time: 1 min

Corinthians vs Sao Paulo – Free Prediction (10.05.2026)

John Kane Football Edge Director

Corinthians

WDLWW

May 10, 2026

21:30

Serie A

3 — 2

Days

Hours

Minutes

Seconds

Sao Paulo

LDDDW

H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

0% 8 Wins

0% 6 Draws

0% 1 Wins

Total games 15

Total Goals Avg 3.00

Both teams scored 67%

2.07 Total average 0.93

1.82 Yellow cards 2.45

0.25 Red cards 0.00

Last 5 matches

26.07.2023 Copa Do Brasil

Corinthians

Sao Paulo

2 0 2 1 0 1

— —

4 3

0 3

0 0

14.05.2023 Serie A

Corinthians

Sao Paulo

1 1 0 1 1 0

0.96 0.86

5 4

2 4

0 0

22.05.2022 Serie A

Corinthians

Sao Paulo

1 0 1 1 1 0

— —

8 8

2 3

0 0

01.07.2021 Serie A

Corinthians

Sao Paulo

0 0 0 0 0 0

— —

5 3

1 1

0 0

03.05.2021 Paulista - A1

Corinthians

Sao Paulo

2 1 1 2 1 1

— —

0 4

4 2

0 0

Corinthians

Team Overview

In their latest Serie A encounter, Corinthians hosted Sao Paulo and emerged victorious with a 3-2 win. This result marked a much-needed boost for the team after a series of mixed performances.

Match statistics (Corinthians vs Sao Paulo):

Possession: 50% vs 50%
Corners: 7 vs 7
Fouls: 12 vs 13
Yellow cards: 4 vs 4
Shots on target: 6 vs 4

Sao Paulo

Team Overview

Sao Paulo faced Corinthians in their last Serie A match, suffering a narrow 2-3 defeat. This loss adds to their recent struggles, as they look to regain their footing in the league.

Match statistics (Corinthians vs Sao Paulo):

Possession: 50% vs 50%
Corners: 7 vs 7
Fouls: 12 vs 13
Yellow cards: 4 vs 4
Shots on target: 6 vs 4

Match Result

Corinthians Triumph Over Sao Paulo in Thrilling Encounter

In a captivating clash in Serie A, Corinthians edged out Sao Paulo with a narrow 3-2 victory, showcasing their attacking prowess and resilience on home turf.

The match began with both teams displaying equal possession at 50%, but it was Corinthians who struck first, with Raniele finding the net in the 17th minute, assisted by R. Garro. Sao Paulo responded effectively, leveling the score just before halftime through Luciano in the 41st minute, assisted by D. Bobadilla. This goal ignited a fiery contest, as both sides exchanged blows.

Corinthians regained control early in the second half, with Matheuzinho scoring in the 52nd minute, followed by Breno Bidon extending their lead to 3-1 just five minutes later. Despite a late own goal from Matheuzinho in the 89th minute, Sao Paulo's efforts fell short. The match featured a total of 15 shots from Corinthians compared to 7 from Sao Paulo, highlighting their offensive dominance.

Both teams were evenly matched in terms of fouls and yellow cards, each receiving 4 bookings. However, Corinthians' ability to convert their chances proved decisive. This victory not only boosts Corinthians' morale but also reinforces their position in the league as they continue to chase their title ambitions.

Match Timeline

Corinthians

Sao Paulo

Goal

Raniele • Assist: R. Garro

17'

41'

Goal

Luciano • Assist: D. Bobadilla

Yellow Card

Gabriel Paulista

45+1'

Yellow Card

Matheus Bidu • Yellow Card | Unsportsmanlike conduct

45+1'

Yellow Card

Jonathan Calleri

45+1'

Yellow Card

Sabino • Yellow Card | Unsportsmanlike conduct

Goal

Matheuzinho • Assist: A. Carrillo

52'

Goal

Breno Bidon • Assist: R. Garro

57'

69'

Substitution

In: Ferreira for Cauly

69'

Substitution

In: Danielzinho for Luan Silva

73'

Yellow Card

E. Diaz • Yellow Card | Roughing

83'

Substitution

In: E. Diaz for Wendell

Substitution

In: A. Carrillo for Dieguinho

83'

Substitution

In: R. Garro for Z. Labyad

88'

Substitution

In: Yuri Alberto for Pedro Raul

88'

89'

Goal

Matheuzinho • Own Goal

90+2'

Substitution

In: D. Bobadilla for Andre Silva

Yellow Card

Z. Labyad • Yellow Card | Unsportsmanlike conduct

90+4'

Yellow Card

Luan Silva • Yellow Card | Unsportsmanlike conduct

Yellow Card

Pedro Raul • Yellow Card | Delay of game

90+5'

Teams Form Analysis

Corinthians have shown strong form in their recent matches, winning 3 out of their last 5 games, including a notable victory against Sao Paulo where they scored 3 goals. Their offensive capabilities are highlighted by an average of 1.6 goals per game in their last 5 matches. On the other hand, Sao Paulo has struggled, managing only 1 win in their last 5 outings, indicating a decline in their performance.

In their last encounter, Corinthians emerged victorious with a score of 3-2, showcasing their attacking prowess. This recent head-to-head victory adds to Corinthians' confidence as they prepare for this matchup.

Statistical Analysis & Influencing Factors

In terms of statistics, Corinthians have an average of 1.6 goals scored per game over their last 5 matches, while Sao Paulo averages only 1.0 goals. Additionally, Corinthians have a higher expected goals (xG) average, indicating they create more quality chances. The head-to-head record favors Corinthians, with 8 wins out of the last 15 encounters, further solidifying their position as the stronger team in this matchup.

Both teams have shown a tendency for fouls, with Corinthians averaging 12 fouls per game and Sao Paulo slightly higher at 13. This could lead to a competitive match with potential for cards, as both teams have received a similar number of yellow cards in their recent games.

Corinthians — Sao Paulo Prediction

Exact Score: 2 vs 1
1st Half: 1 vs 0
Goals (Total): 2 vs 1
Corners: 6 vs 4
Fouls: 12 vs 13
Yellow Cards: 2 vs 2
Shots on target: 5 vs 3
Offsides: 2 vs 1
Possession: 55% vs 45%

In terms of tactical expectations, Corinthians are likely to adopt an aggressive approach, utilizing their home advantage to press high and create scoring opportunities. Sao Paulo, on the other hand, may focus on counter-attacks, looking to exploit any gaps left by Corinthians' attacking play. This tactical setup could lead to a dynamic match with end-to-end action.