In their latest Serie A encounter, Atalanta faced AC Milan away and secured a 3-2 victory. This win marked a positive turn for the team, showcasing their attacking prowess against a strong opponent.
Match statistics (AC Milan vs Atalanta):
Possession: 58% vs 42%
Corners: 2 vs 2
Fouls: 8 vs 17
Yellow cards: 3 vs 3
Shots on target: 9 vs 5
Bologna
Team Overview
Bologna played against Napoli in their last Serie A match and emerged victorious with a score of 3-2. This win was significant as it helped them regain some much-needed momentum in their campaign.
Match statistics (Napoli vs Bologna):
Possession: 52% vs 48%
Corners: 7 vs 1
Fouls: 10 vs 12
Yellow cards: 1 vs 4
Shots on target: 5 vs 4
Teams Form Analysis
Atalanta has shown a mixed form in their last ten matches, winning 4, drawing 2, and losing 4. They have scored 6 goals and conceded 6 in their last four matches, averaging 1.5 goals per game. Bologna, on the other hand, has struggled significantly, with only 3 goals scored and 10 conceded in their last five matches, averaging just 0.6 goals per game.
This disparity in form indicates that Atalanta is currently in a better position heading into this match, despite their recent inconsistency.
Statistical Analysis & Influencing Factors
In their head-to-head encounters, Atalanta has a notable advantage over Bologna, winning 8 out of the last 15 matches. The average goals per game in these encounters stands at 2.33, suggesting a tendency for matches to feature multiple goals. Bologna's recent performances have been concerning, particularly their defensive frailties, allowing an average of 2 goals per game in their last five outings.
Furthermore, Atalanta's attacking prowess is reflected in their higher expected goals (xG) in recent matches, indicating they are likely to create more scoring opportunities compared to Bologna.
Atalanta — Bologna Prediction
Exact Score: 2 vs 1
1st Half: 1 vs 0
Goals (Total): 2 vs 1
Corners: 6 vs 3
Fouls: 12 vs 14
Yellow Cards: 2 vs 3
Shots on target: 5 vs 2
Offsides: 3 vs 1
Possession: 55% vs 45%
Atalanta is expected to dominate possession and create numerous chances, leveraging their attacking depth. Bologna will likely focus on counter-attacks but may struggle to maintain defensive solidity against Atalanta's relentless pressure.
3 Key Reasons for This Prediction
Strong Recent Form. Atalanta has won 4 of their last 10 matches, while Bologna has only managed 1 win in their last 5.
Head-to-Head Advantage. Atalanta has won 8 out of the last 15 encounters against Bologna, showcasing their dominance.
Defensive Solidity. Bologna has conceded 10 goals in their last 5 matches, indicating significant defensive issues that Atalanta can exploit.