01.05.2026 • Updated: 14.05.2026

Reading time: 1 min

Premier League

Chelsea vs Manchester City – Free Prediction (16.05.2026)

John Kane Football Edge Director

Chelsea

DLWLL

May 16, 2026

14:00

FA Cup

Days

Hours

Minutes

Seconds

Manchester City

WWDWW

H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

0% 4 Wins

0% 1 Draws

0% 10 Wins

Total games 15

Total Goals Avg 2.27

Both teams scored 33%

0.67 Total average 1.60

1.56 Yellow cards 1.56

0.00 Red cards 2.00

Last 5 matches

21.05.2023 Premier League

Manchester City

Chelsea

1 1 0 0 0 0

1.19 1.25

5 2

0 2

0 0

15.01.2022 Premier League

Manchester City

Chelsea

1 0 1 0 0 0

— —

9 1

0 2

0 0

29.05.2021 UEFA Champi…

Manchester City

Chelsea

0 0 0 1 1 0

— —

3 1

2 1

0 0

08.05.2021 Premier League

Manchester City

Chelsea

1 1 0 2 0 2

— —

6 2

2 0

0 0

23.11.2019 Premier League

Manchester City

Chelsea

2 2 0 1 1 0

— —

8 2

1 1

0 0

Chelsea

Team Overview

Chelsea hosted Liverpool in their last match in the Premier League, which ended in a 1-1 draw. This result leaves Chelsea looking for a win as they prepare to face Manchester City in the FA Cup.

Match statistics (Liverpool vs Chelsea):

Possession: 48% vs 52%
Corners: 5 vs 2
Fouls: 17 vs 17
Yellow cards: 2 vs 4
Shots on target: 3 vs 3

Manchester City

Team Overview

Manchester City faced Crystal Palace at home in their previous match, securing a convincing 3-0 victory. This win continues their impressive run as they head into the FA Cup clash against Chelsea.

Match statistics (Manchester City vs Crystal Palace):

Possession: 72% vs 28%
Corners: 9 vs 4
Fouls: 10 vs 7
Yellow cards: 0 vs 2
Shots on target: 4 vs 2

Teams Form Analysis

Chelsea has struggled in their recent matches, managing only 1 win in their last 5 games, with a total of 3 goals scored and 8 conceded. Their average goals per game stands at 0.6, indicating a lack of offensive firepower. In contrast, Manchester City has been in excellent form, winning 4 of their last 5 matches, scoring 12 goals and conceding just 4, averaging 2.4 goals per game.

This stark contrast in form suggests that Manchester City enters this match with a significant psychological advantage, especially given their recent head-to-head success against Chelsea.

Statistical Analysis & Influencing Factors

In their last 15 encounters, Manchester City has won 10 times, while Chelsea has only managed 4 victories. The average goals per game in these matchups is 2.27, with Chelsea averaging just 0.67 goals when playing at home against City. Recent matches have shown that City tends to dominate possession, with their last game against Chelsea seeing them hold 65% of the ball, compared to Chelsea's 35%.

Additionally, City has a higher expected goals (xG) rate in their recent matches, indicating they create more quality chances. This trend is likely to continue, especially considering Chelsea's defensive vulnerabilities.

Chelsea — Manchester City Prediction

Exact Score: 1 vs 2
1st Half: 0 vs 1
Goals (Total): 1 vs 2
Corners: 2 vs 7
Fouls: 10 vs 10
Yellow Cards: 2 vs 1
Shots on target: 5 vs 6
Offsides: 2 vs 3
Possession: 35% vs 65%

3 Reasons Why Manchester City Will Win

Strong Recent Form. Manchester City has won 4 of their last 5 matches, scoring 12 goals, showcasing their attacking strength and confidence.
Head-to-Head Advantage. In their last 15 encounters, City has won 10 times, demonstrating a clear dominance over Chelsea.
Defensive Solidity. City has conceded only 4 goals in their last 5 matches, indicating a robust defensive setup that Chelsea will struggle to break down.