01.05.2026 • Updated: 14.05.2026

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1. FC Heidenheim vs FSV Mainz 05 – Free Prediction (16.05.2026)

John Kane Football Edge Director

1. FC Heidenheim

WDWLW

May 16, 2026

13:30

Bundesliga

Days

Hours

Minutes

Seconds

FSV Mainz 05

LWLDL

H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

0% 2 Wins

0% 1 Draws

0% 2 Wins

Total games 5

Total Goals Avg 2.00

Both teams scored 40%

1.00 Total average 1.00

2.40 Yellow cards 3.00

1.00 Red cards 1.00

Last 5 matches

13.01.2026 Bundesliga

FSV Mainz 05

1. FC Heidenheim

2 1 1 1 0 1

1.39 1.55

4 1

2 2

0 0

16.02.2025 Bundesliga

1. FC Heidenheim

FSV Mainz 05

0 0 0 2 1 1

0.63 2.03

8 4

1 3

0 0

28.09.2024 Bundesliga

FSV Mainz 05

1. FC Heidenheim

0 0 0 2 1 1

0.60 1.46

7 6

4 4

1 1

05.05.2024 Bundesliga

FC Heidenheim

FSV Mainz 05

1 0 1 1 1 0

0.94 1.40

6 3

2 3

0 0

16.12.2023 Bundesliga

FSV Mainz 05

FC Heidenheim

0 0 0 1 1 0

1.63 0.53

8 1

3 3

0 0

1. FC Heidenheim

Team Overview

In their latest Bundesliga outing, 1. FC Heidenheim triumphed over 1. FC Köln with a convincing 3-1 victory. This win marks a positive turn for the team, who have struggled in recent weeks.

Match statistics (1. FC Köln vs 1. FC Heidenheim):

Possession: 66% vs 34%
Corners: 6 vs 4
Fouls: 9 vs 8
Yellow cards: 2 vs 2
Shots on target: 7 vs 5

FSV Mainz 05

Team Overview

FSV Mainz 05 faced a tough defeat at home against Union Berlin, losing 1-3 in their latest Bundesliga match. This result continues a difficult stretch for the team as they seek to improve their standings.

Match statistics (FSV Mainz 05 vs Union Berlin):

Possession: 53% vs 47%
Corners: 7 vs 8
Fouls: 11 vs 10
Yellow cards: 2 vs 1
Shots on target: 3 vs 9

Teams Form Analysis

1. FC Heidenheim has shown strong form recently, winning 4 of their last 5 matches, including a notable 3-1 victory against 1. FC Köln. Their attacking prowess is evident, averaging 2.4 goals per game in their last 5 outings. In contrast, FSV Mainz 05 has struggled, winning only 2 of their last 5 matches, with a concerning goal difference of -6 in the same period.

Heidenheim's recent performances suggest a solid home advantage, while Mainz's inconsistency could be a significant factor in this matchup.

Statistical Analysis & Influencing Factors

In their last 10 matches, Heidenheim has scored a total of 12 goals, averaging 2.4 goals per game, while conceding 7, which gives them an average of 1.4 goals against per game. Mainz, on the other hand, has scored 7 goals in their last 10 matches, averaging 1.4 goals per game, but has conceded 13, resulting in an average of 2.6 goals against per game. This stark contrast in defensive solidity could heavily influence the outcome of the match.

Additionally, in their head-to-head encounters, both teams have won 2 matches each, with 1 draw. However, Heidenheim's recent victory in their last encounter adds to their confidence going into this match.

1. FC Heidenheim — FSV Mainz 05 Prediction

Exact Score: 2 vs 1
1st Half: 1 vs 0
Goals (Total): 2 vs 1
Corners: 5 vs 3
Fouls: 10 vs 12
Yellow Cards: 3 vs 2
Shots on target: 6 vs 4
Offsides: 2 vs 1
Possession: 52% vs 48%

Tactically, Heidenheim is expected to maintain a high press, exploiting Mainz's defensive frailties, particularly in transition. Mainz may struggle to cope with Heidenheim's pace on the flanks, leading to potential goal-scoring opportunities from wide areas.

3 Reasons Why 1. FC Heidenheim Will Win

Strong Recent Form. Heidenheim has won 4 of their last 5 matches, showcasing their attacking capabilities with an average of 2.4 goals per game.
Home Advantage. Heidenheim's home performances have been solid, with a strong goal-scoring record and effective defensive displays.
Defensive Vulnerabilities of Mainz. Mainz has conceded an average of 2.6 goals per game in their last 10 matches, indicating significant defensive issues that Heidenheim can exploit.