18.04.2026
Reading time: 3 min

Oviedo vs Villarreal – Free Prediction (23.04.2026)

Oviedo
WWLWD

23 April 2026
19:30
La Liga

VS

Villarreal
WLWDW

Player Ratings & Team Rating

Oviedo

Average rating
6.67

Top players:

  • H. Moldovan — 8.30 (0 g)
  • Aarón Escandell — 7.32 (0 g)
  • L. Ilić — 7.30 (2 g)
  • J. Brekalo — 7.20 (1 g)
  • E. Bailly — 7.02 (1 g)

Villarreal

Average rating
6.78

Top players:

  • Santi Comesaña — 7.90 (5 g)
  • P. Gueye — 7.70 (4 g)
  • Dani Parejo — 7.45 (0 g)
  • Rafa Marín — 7.37 (1 g)
  • Diego Conde — 7.30 (0 g)

Clean Sheets / Both Teams To Score

Oviedo
Villarreal


Strength


50% / 50%

Attacking Potential


50% / 50%

Defensive Potential


50% / 50%

Poisson Distribution


27% / 73%

Strength H2H


0% / 100%

Goals H2H


0% / 100%

Wins The Game



10% / 45% / 45%

Introduction

In the 33rd round of La Liga, Oviedo will host Villarreal at the Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere. This match holds critical importance for both teams as they strive for crucial points in the league standings.

Form Analysis

Oviedo has shown a promising form recently, winning three out of their last five matches, including a notable victory over Sevilla. Their defensive stability has been key, as evidenced by their ability to keep two clean sheets in those games, although they did suffer a heavy defeat against Levante.

Villarreal, on the other hand, has struggled to find consistent form, with only one win in their last five outings. Despite a strong performance against Real Sociedad, their recent losses and draws indicate that they are likely to be under pressure, especially playing away from home.

Statistical Analysis

When comparing the statistics of both teams, Oviedo has a home win percentage of 67% over their last five matches, showcasing their strength at home. Villarreal, while also performing at a 67% rate in their away games, has faced challenges in converting opportunities into goals, which may impact their chances in this matchup.

Both teams have exhibited fluctuating results in their recent matches, but Oviedo’s defensive record, allowing only two goals in their last three home games, provides them an edge in terms of resilience. Villarreal will need to enhance their offensive output to secure a favorable result.

Head-to-Head History

Historically, Villarreal has had the upper hand against Oviedo, winning the last encounter with a score of 2-0. This head-to-head advantage could serve as a psychological boost for Villarreal as they prepare for the upcoming clash.

Influencing Factors

The weather during the match is expected to be overcast with a temperature around 12°C and high humidity, which may affect player stamina and performance on the field. Playing at home, Oviedo will benefit from familiar surroundings and the support of their fans, which could provide them with an additional impetus to perform well.

Conversely, Villarreal must overcome the challenge of playing away, coupled with their recent form, which could lead to added pressure on the players. These factors will play a significant role in how the game unfolds.

Prediction and Justification

Given the current form of both teams and their respective statistics, it is likely that Villarreal will manage to secure at least a draw in this encounter, with a prediction of 1:2 in favor of Villarreal. Their superior head-to-head record against Oviedo suggests they have the capability to capitalize on any defensive lapses from the home side, while Oviedo’s home advantage may not be sufficient to overcome Villarreal’s experience in high-pressure situations.

Prediction

Predicted Score: 1:2