13.04.2026
Reading time: 3 min

Werder Bremen vs Hamburger SV – Free Prediction (18.04.2026)

Werder Bremen
LLWLW

18 April 2026
13:30
Bundesliga

VS

Hamburger SV
LDLDW

Player Ratings & Team Rating

Werder Bremen

Average rating
6.63

Top players:

  • M. Zetterer — 7.30 (0 g)
  • M. Backhaus — 7.00 (0 g)
  • M. Friedl — 6.91 (1 g)
  • N. Stark — 6.90 (0 g)
  • R. Schmid — 6.90 (3 g)

Hamburger SV

Average rating
6.81

Top players:

  • Fábio Vieira — 7.95 (5 g)
  • L. Vušković — 7.95 (5 g)
  • Daniel Elfadli — 7.20 (0 g)
  • Daniel Heuer Fernandes — 7.13 (0 g)
  • M. Muheim — 7.00 (0 g)

Clean Sheets / Both Teams To Score

Werder Bremen
Hamburger SV


Strength


55% / 45%

Attacking Potential


54% / 46%

Defensive Potential


56% / 44%

Poisson Distribution


55% / 45%

Strength H2H


50% / 50%

Goals H2H


46% / 54%

Wins The Game



33% / 33% / 33%

Introduction

In the 30th round of the Bundesliga, Werder Bremen will host Hamburger SV at the Weserstadion. This matchup is critical for both teams, as they aim to secure valuable points to improve their standings in the league.

Form Analysis

Werder Bremen’s recent form has been concerning, with only one victory in their last ten matches. They have suffered four defeats in their last five outings, showcasing a struggling defense and inconsistent attack, highlighted by their recent 3-1 loss to 1. FC Köln and a narrow 2-1 defeat against RB Leipzig.

On the other hand, Hamburger SV has also faced difficulty in their recent performances, managing just one win in their past ten games. Their last five matches include two draws, indicating a lack of decisive victories, and a 4-0 drubbing by VfB Stuttgart further underlines their defensive frailties, coupled with their inability to finish chances, as seen in their recent 1-1 draws against FC Augsburg and 1. FC Köln.

Statistical Analysis

When comparing the statistics of both teams, Werder Bremen holds a slight edge in home performance, securing 40% of possible points from their last five home games. Conversely, Hamburger SV’s away form is even weaker, with only 33% of points earned in their last five matches on the road, highlighting their struggles to adapt to away conditions.

In head-to-head metrics, the last five encounters between these two teams have been closely contested, with both clubs winning two matches each and one draw. The average score of 2.6 goals in these matches indicates a tendency for higher-scoring games, suggesting that both teams have the potential to find the back of the net but also expose their defenses.

Head-to-Head History

The historical context between Werder Bremen and Hamburger SV adds an intriguing layer to this matchup. In their last five meetings, both teams showcased their competitiveness, with victories alternating between them. The most recent match saw Hamburger SV edge out Bremen 3-2, which may give them a psychological advantage heading into this clash.

Influencing Factors

Several factors could influence the outcome of this match. The Weserstadion, known for its vibrant atmosphere, will provide a home advantage for Werder Bremen, who will be eager to turn their fortunes around in front of their supporters. Additionally, the weather conditions are expected to be mild, which typically favors an attacking style of play.

Both teams are under pressure, as the fight for points intensifies at this crucial juncture of the season. The ability of each side to capitalize on their chances will be vital, especially for Werder Bremen, who may be looking to leverage their home ground to gain momentum.

Prediction and Justification

Considering the current form and historical context, this match is poised to be competitive. Werder Bremen, despite their recent struggles, may find the motivation needed to secure a much-needed victory on home soil against a similarly challenged Hamburger SV. The prediction leans towards a close encounter with Werder Bremen edging it out with a score of 2:1.

Prediction

Werder Bremen is likely to secure a narrow victory, utilizing their home advantage to overcome Hamburger SV.

Predicted Score: 2:1