13.04.2026
Reading time: 3 min

Newcastle vs Bournemouth – Free Prediction (18.04.2026)

Newcastle
LLLWD

18 April 2026
14:00
Premier League

VS

Bournemouth
WDDDD

Player Ratings & Team Rating

Newcastle

Average rating
6.92

Top players:

  • S. Tonali — 8.20 (3 g)
  • H. Barnes — 8.03 (14 g)
  • F. Schär — 7.95 (1 g)
  • N. Pope — 7.90 (0 g)
  • Joelinton — 7.83 (6 g)

Bournemouth

Average rating
6.74

Top players:

  • M. Senesi — 8.30 (0 g)
  • M. Tavernier — 8.20 (6 g)
  • J. Hill — 7.70 (0 g)
  • R. Christie — 7.30 (2 g)
  • D. Ouattara — 7.30 (0 g)

Clean Sheets / Both Teams To Score

Newcastle
Bournemouth


Strength


46% / 54%

Attacking Potential


58% / 42%

Defensive Potential


33% / 67%

Poisson Distribution


54% / 46%

Strength H2H


50% / 50%

Goals H2H


44% / 56%

Wins The Game



10% / 45% / 45%

Introduction

Newcastle is set to face Bournemouth in the 33rd round of the Premier League. This match carries significant weight for both teams as they look to secure vital points in their pursuit of improved standings in the table.

Form Analysis

Newcastle has had a mixed spell recently, securing only 2 wins in their last 10 matches, along with 2 losses and 1 draw. Their home form has been particularly concerning, with just 40% effectiveness in their last five home games, leading to mounting pressure on the squad to perform. In contrast, Bournemouth has shown signs of resilience, remaining unbeaten in their last 5 matches with 1 victory and 4 draws. Their away form, while not stellar at 47%, has provided them with a foothold to build on, especially after a notable win against Arsenal.

Statistical Analysis

When examining the statistics, Newcastle has struggled to convert chances into goals, which has contributed to their recent poor form. Their last five encounters with Bournemouth have yielded 4 draws and just 1 win for Bournemouth, suggesting a competitive edge in their head-to-head matches. Bournemouth’s defensive solidity is evident, having kept clean sheets in several matches recently, whereas Newcastle has conceded more goals, raising concerns about their backline effectiveness. This trend could play a crucial role in the outcome of the match.

Head-to-Head History

The head-to-head history between Newcastle and Bournemouth reveals a pattern of closely contested matches. Over the last five encounters, neither side has dominated, with both teams sharing the spoils on multiple occasions. The most recent matches have been characterized by draws, indicating that both teams are evenly matched when they meet on the pitch.

Influencing Factors

The weather conditions for the match at St. James’ Park are expected to be clear, with temperatures around 1°C. Such conditions could impact player performance, particularly for teams accustomed to warmer climates. Additionally, the home advantage that Newcastle typically enjoys at St. James’ Park will be put to the test, as they must capitalize on their familiar surroundings to regain confidence and momentum.

Prediction and Justification

Considering the current form, statistics, and head-to-head history, the match is likely to end in a draw or a narrow victory for Bournemouth. Newcastle’s struggles at home against a resilient Bournemouth side could see them fall short once again. Thus, the expected score is 1:2 in favor of Bournemouth, reflecting their current form and ability to secure crucial points on the road.

Prediction

Bournemouth is likely to edge out Newcastle in this matchup, given their recent form and head-to-head history.

Predicted Score: 1:2