06.04.2026
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Auxerre vs Nantes – Free Prediction (11.04.2026)

Auxerre
DWLDD

11 April 2026
17:00
Ligue 1

VS

Nantes
DLLLW

Player Ratings & Team Rating

Auxerre

Average rating
6.73

Top players:

  • T. De Percin — 8.60 (0 g)
  • A. Dioussé — 7.60 (1 g)
  • G. Mensah — 7.20 (0 g)
  • F. Sierralta — 7.00 (1 g)
  • L. Sy — 7.00 (0 g)

Nantes

Average rating
6.72

Top players:

  • M. Abline — 8.50 (7 g)
  • T. Tati — 7.30 (0 g)
  • P. Carlgren — 7.20 (0 g)
  • F. Centonze — 7.20 (4 g)
  • B. Deuff — 7.20 (1 g)

Clean Sheets / Both Teams To Score

Auxerre
Nantes


Strength


60% / 40%

Attacking Potential


60% / 40%

Defensive Potential


56% / 44%

Poisson Distribution


55% / 45%

Strength H2H


29% / 71%

Goals H2H


33% / 67%

Wins The Game



35% / 35% / 30%

Introduction

In the 29th round of Ligue 1, Auxerre will host Nantes at the Stade de l’Abbé Deschamps. This encounter holds significant importance for both teams as they aim to improve their standings in the league table.

Form Analysis

Auxerre has shown a mixed bag of results recently with 2 wins, 3 draws, and no losses in their last 5 matches. Their most recent performance, a 1-1 draw against Le Havre, indicates a resilient side that has managed to avoid defeat, showcasing potential for improvement.

On the other hand, Nantes has struggled with form, recording only 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last 5 outings. Their recent game against Metz ended in a goalless draw, reflecting a lack of offensive clarity that they will need to address to secure crucial points.

Statistical Analysis

When comparing the two teams, Auxerre boasts a home form success rate of 40% in their last five home games, while Nantes has a disappointing 27% success rate away from home. This disparity suggests that Auxerre may have the upper hand in this matchup, particularly given Nantes’ struggles on the road.

In terms of goal-scoring, Auxerre has managed to score an average of 1.8 goals in their recent head-to-head encounters against Nantes, while Nantes has been less prolific. The overall trend indicates that Auxerre has been more effective in front of goal, which could play a crucial role in determining the outcome of this fixture.

Head-to-Head History

The historical encounters between Auxerre and Nantes show a slight edge for Auxerre, who have secured 4 wins out of their last 5 meetings. Nantes has not won against Auxerre in the recent past, which could influence the confidence levels of both teams heading into this match.

Influencing Factors

The match will take place under overcast skies with a temperature of 18°C, conditions that are generally favorable for football. Home advantage at Stade de l’Abbé Deschamps could play a crucial role, as Auxerre aims to leverage their familiar surroundings to boost their performance.

Additionally, the psychological aspect of playing at home could benefit Auxerre, especially given their recent unbeaten streak, while Nantes will need to overcome their poor away form to challenge effectively.

Prediction and Justification

Considering the current form, statistical insights, and historical performances of both teams, Auxerre appears to have a favorable position going into this match. With the likelihood of a tightly contested game, I predict a scoreline of 2:1 in favor of Auxerre, reflecting their home advantage and stronger recent performances.

Prediction

Auxerre is likely to secure a victory based on their home advantage and recent form.

Predicted Score: 2:1