06.04.2026
Reading time: 3 min

Real Sociedad vs Alaves – Free Prediction (11.04.2026)

Real Sociedad
WLWLW

11 April 2026
12:00
La Liga

VS

Alaves
DWDLL

Player Ratings & Team Rating

Real Sociedad

Average rating
6.85

Top players:

  • Unai Marrero — 7.93 (0 g)
  • Beñat Turrientes — 7.63 (2 g)
  • Álex Remiro — 7.35 (0 g)
  • Gonçalo Guedes — 7.24 (9 g)
  • L. Sučić — 7.23 (3 g)

Alaves

Average rating
6.79

Top players:

  • Carlos Vicente — 7.87 (8 g)
  • Toni Martínez — 7.35 (11 g)
  • Raúl Fernández — 7.33 (0 g)
  • M. Diarra — 7.30 (0 g)
  • C. Benavídez — 7.07 (0 g)

Clean Sheets / Both Teams To Score

Real Sociedad
Alaves


Strength


64% / 36%

Attacking Potential


50% / 50%

Defensive Potential


61% / 39%

Poisson Distribution


65% / 35%

Strength H2H


29% / 71%

Goals H2H


42% / 58%

Wins The Game



45% / 45% / 10%

Introduction

Real Sociedad will host Alaves in the 31st round of La Liga. This matchup is crucial for both teams as they vie for important points to secure their positions in the league standings.

Form Analysis

Real Sociedad comes into this match in solid form, having won five of their last ten matches without any draws. Their recent victories include a convincing 2-0 win against Levante and a 3-1 triumph over Osasuna, showcasing their attacking prowess and defensive solidity.

In contrast, Alaves has struggled recently, managing only one win in their last ten matches, along with two draws and two losses. Their recent performances include a hard-fought 2-2 draw against Osasuna and a narrow defeat to Valencia, highlighting their inconsistency and difficulties in securing crucial points.

Statistical Analysis

When comparing the statistics of both teams, Real Sociedad stands out with a home form of 60% in their last five matches, indicating their strength at Reale Arena. They have shown the ability to score and defend effectively, contributing to their recent success.

On the other hand, Alaves has only managed a 33% success rate in away matches over the same period. Their inability to convert chances into goals has been evident, and they have struggled defensively, which could be a significant factor in this upcoming match.

Head-to-Head History

The head-to-head history between Real Sociedad and Alaves reveals a competitive rivalry. In their last five encounters, both teams have won twice, with one draw. The matches have typically been high-scoring, reflecting the attacking potential of both sides, but Real Sociedad has had the upper hand in recent fixtures.

Influencing Factors

The match will take place at Reale Arena, where Real Sociedad enjoys a strong home advantage, making it challenging for visiting teams like Alaves. Additionally, weather conditions could also play a role, with potential rain affecting the style of play and ball control.

Both teams will be keen to capitalize on any mistakes, and the pressure of the match will likely impact their performances. The stakes are high, as Real Sociedad aims to solidify their position in the top half of the table, while Alaves looks to escape the relegation zone.

Prediction and Justification

Considering the current form, home advantage, and historical context, Real Sociedad is favored to win this matchup. With their attacking capabilities and recent performances, I predict a final score of 2:1, reflecting both teams’ need for points and the competitive nature of their encounters.

Prediction

Real Sociedad is expected to secure a victory in this match against Alaves, leveraging their home advantage and current form.

Predicted Score: 2:1