05.04.2026
Reading time: 3 min

Real Madrid vs Girona – Free Prediction (10.04.2026)

Real Madrid
LWWWW

10 April 2026
19:00
La Liga

VS

Girona
LWDLD

Player Ratings & Team Rating

Real Madrid

Average rating
6.79

Top players:

  • Kylian Mbappé — 8.03 (39 g)
  • A. Tchouaméni — 7.25 (2 g)
  • Gonzalo García — 7.17 (10 g)
  • E. Camavinga — 7.08 (2 g)
  • Franco Mastantuono — 7.07 (3 g)

Girona

Average rating
6.57

Top players:

  • Joel Roca — 7.30 (2 g)
  • P. Gazzaniga — 7.13 (0 g)
  • Abel Ruiz — 7.00 (0 g)
  • V. Tsygankov — 6.92 (5 g)
  • Alejandro Francés — 6.90 (0 g)

Clean Sheets / Both Teams To Score

Real Madrid
Girona


Strength


64% / 36%

Attacking Potential


59% / 41%

Defensive Potential


46% / 54%

Poisson Distribution


77% / 23%

Strength H2H


93% / 7%

Goals H2H


93% / 7%

Wins The Game



45% / 45% / 10%

Introduction

Real Madrid will host Girona in the 31st round of La Liga. This match holds significant implications for both teams as they vie for crucial points in the league standings.

Form Analysis

Real Madrid’s recent form has been solid, showcasing resilience with four wins out of their last five matches, despite a surprising defeat to Mallorca. Their performances against top-tier teams, including a recent win over Atletico Madrid and a victory against Manchester City, highlight their competitive edge and ability to perform under pressure.

In contrast, Girona has struggled to find consistency, managing only one win in their last five outings. With a record showing one win, two draws, and two losses, they face a challenging task against a formidable opponent like Real Madrid, particularly after a recent loss to Osasuna which could have dampened their morale.

Statistical Analysis

When comparing the statistics of both teams, Real Madrid displays a stronger overall performance. With a home form of 60% in their last five matches, they have been dominant at the Estadio Santiago Bernabéu. Girona, on the other hand, has only managed a 33% success rate in their recent away games, indicating their struggles on the road.

Head-to-head, Real Madrid has historically performed well against Girona, boasting an average of 2.8 goals in their last five encounters and maintaining a strong record of two wins and a draw in the most recent five matches. This statistical edge further emphasizes the uphill battle Girona faces in this matchup.

Head-to-Head History

The historical encounters between Real Madrid and Girona have generally favored the former. In their last five meetings, Real Madrid has claimed victory in four instances, while Girona has managed just a draw and a solitary win, underscoring Madrid’s dominance in this fixture.

Influencing Factors

The match will take place under clear skies with a temperature of 11°C, conditions that are favorable for both teams. Home advantage plays a crucial role, as Real Madrid is renowned for their formidable presence at the Bernabéu, where they often secure significant victories against visiting teams.

Additionally, psychological factors may influence the outcome, with Real Madrid likely benefiting from their recent successes in high-stakes matches, while Girona may feel the pressure of needing to improve their form to secure vital points.

Prediction and Justification

Given the current form and historical context, Real Madrid is predicted to win this match, potentially with a score of 2:0. Their ability to perform well at home, combined with Girona’s recent struggles, points towards a favorable outcome for the hosts.

Prediction

Real Madrid is expected to secure a victory in this match.

Predicted Score: 2:0