02.04.2026
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Hamburger SV vs FC Augsburg – Free Prediction (04.04.2026)

Hamburger SV
LDWLL

04 April 2026
13:30
Bundesliga

VS

FC Augsburg
LLLWW

Player Ratings & Team Rating

Hamburger SV

Average rating
6.79

Top players:

  • Fábio Vieira — 7.95 (5 g)
  • L. Vušković — 7.95 (5 g)
  • Daniel Elfadli — 7.20 (0 g)
  • M. Muheim — 7.01 (0 g)
  • N. Remberg — 6.96 (0 g)

FC Augsburg

Average rating
6.95

Top players:

  • S. Mounié — 8.00 (1 g)
  • J. Gouweleeuw — 7.90 (0 g)
  • F. Dahmen — 7.90 (0 g)
  • C. Matsima — 7.55 (1 g)
  • H. Massengo — 7.30 (2 g)

Clean Sheets / Both Teams To Score

Hamburger SV
FC Augsburg


Strength


40% / 60%

Attacking Potential


43% / 57%

Defensive Potential


58% / 42%

Poisson Distribution


64% / 36%

Strength H2H


29% / 71%

Goals H2H


27% / 73%

Wins The Game



10% / 45% / 45%

Introduction

In the upcoming 28th round of the Bundesliga, Hamburger SV will face FC Augsburg at the Volksparkstadion. This match is particularly significant as both teams are fighting hard to secure crucial points that could impact their standings in the league.

Form Analysis

Hamburger SV has struggled in their recent matches, managing only one victory in their last ten outings. With a form percentage of just 27% at home, their performances have been inconsistent, highlighted by a narrow defeat to Borussia Dortmund and a disappointing draw against 1. FC Köln. The team has shown resilience at times, but their inability to convert chances into wins has left them vulnerable.

On the other hand, FC Augsburg has demonstrated a slightly better form with a recent win against 1. FC Köln. However, they also faced heavy losses, including a 5-2 defeat to VfB Stuttgart. Their away record stands at 40%, which indicates some capability to perform on the road, but inconsistency remains a major concern, especially against stronger opponents like Borussia Dortmund and RB Leipzig.

Statistical Analysis

In terms of statistics, Hamburger SV has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in their last five matches. Their scoring has been average, with only 5 goals in those fixtures, while they have conceded 9, highlighting defensive frailties. Conversely, FC Augsburg’s last five matches saw them winning 2 and losing 3, scoring a total of 8 goals but conceding 13, indicating a porous defense that could be exploited.

The head-to-head record shows Hamburger SV has historically had the upper hand, winning 4 out of their last 5 encounters against FC Augsburg. However, the most recent matches have been closer, suggesting that Augsburg is capable of putting up a fight.

Head-to-Head History

The history of encounters between these two sides leans in favor of Hamburger SV, with four wins in the last five meetings. However, FC Augsburg has managed to secure a couple of draws, indicating that they can be competitive against HSV.

Influencing Factors

The match will take place at the Volksparkstadion, where Hamburger SV have the advantage of home support. However, the team’s current form may counterbalance this benefit. Weather conditions, with an overcast sky and temperatures around 11°C, could also play a role in how the teams perform, potentially favoring a more tactical game. Additionally, the pressure of needing points will likely influence the players’ mindset and performance on the pitch.

Prediction and Justification

Considering the current form and statistical performance of both teams, FC Augsburg seems to have a better chance of securing at least a point. Their ability to score and the historical trend against Hamburger SV suggests a closely contested match. Thus, I predict a final score of 1:2, favoring FC Augsburg with the potential to capitalize on Hamburger SV’s defensive vulnerabilities.

Prediction

FC Augsburg is likely to secure a win or at least a draw given their recent form and head-to-head record against Hamburger SV.

Predicted Score: 1:2