26.03.2026
Reading time: 3 min

Chesterfield vs Grimsby – Free Prediction (28.03.2026)

Chesterfield
WLWLW

28 March 2026
15:00
League Two

VS

Grimsby
WWLDW

Player Ratings & Team Rating

Chesterfield

Average rating
6.57

Top players:

  • R. Boot — 8.20 (0 g)
  • A. Dobra — 7.60 (5 g)
  • L. Bonis — 7.23 (12 g)
  • Z. Hemming — 7.20 (0 g)
  • D. Markanday — 7.04 (7 g)

Grimsby

Average rating
6.65

Top players:

  • T. Warren — 8.10 (1 g)
  • R. Staunton — 7.23 (1 g)
  • C. Casper — 7.20 (0 g)
  • S. Auton — 7.20 (0 g)
  • C. McJannet — 7.16 (1 g)

Clean Sheets / Both Teams To Score

Chesterfield
Grimsby


Strength


47% / 53%

Attacking Potential


47% / 53%

Defensive Potential


27% / 73%

Poisson Distribution


57% / 43%

Strength H2H


71% / 29%

Goals H2H


50% / 50%

Wins The Game



35% / 35% / 30%

Introduction

In Matchday 40 of League Two, Chesterfield will face Grimsby Town in a crucial encounter. This matchup is significant for both teams as they aim to improve their standings in the league.

Form Analysis

Chesterfield’s recent form has been concerning, with only one win in their last ten matches, resulting in four losses. Their inability to secure consistent results has left them struggling to climb the table, and they will need to capitalize on this home advantage to regain momentum.

On the other hand, Grimsby has also faced a dismal run, failing to win any of their last five matches and only managing one draw in the last ten. Their recent performances highlight a lack of offensive production, which has hindered their ability to secure points and climb away from the relegation zone.

Statistical Analysis

Chesterfield has a home form of 60% in their last five matches, indicating some potential for a strong performance at SMH Group Stadium. In contrast, Grimsby has only managed a 67% form away from home in their recent outings, which is marginally better but still reflects their struggles.

Historically, Chesterfield has had the edge in head-to-head meetings, winning two of the last five encounters against Grimsby. Their average goals per match in these fixtures stand at a notable 3.2, often leading to high-scoring affairs.

Head-to-Head History

The historical encounters between Chesterfield and Grimsby have been competitive, with both teams winning two matches each and one ending in a draw in their last five meetings. The last match-up saw Chesterfield triumph 1-0, showcasing their ability to edge out victories in close contests.

Influencing Factors

The match will be played under light rain with a temperature of 7°C, which could affect the playing conditions. Chesterfield’s home advantage is significant, as they will be looking to their supporters to propel them to a much-needed victory.

Given the current state of both teams, the pressure is intensifying for Chesterfield to perform at home, while Grimsby will be keen to break their winless streak. The outcome of this match could have a substantial impact on both teams’ ambitions for the remainder of the season.

Prediction and Justification

Considering Chesterfield’s home form and historical advantage over Grimsby, they are likely to secure the victory in this encounter. With both teams struggling, Chesterfield’s motivation to improve their standings could lead to a closely contested match, but ultimately, they may clinch it with a predicted score of 2:1.

Prediction

Chesterfield is expected to win this match, building on their home advantage and historical success against Grimsby.

Predicted Score: 2:1